Brewers vs. Cardinals MLB Pick – August 21st

The St. Louis Cardinals eye a sweep at Busch Stadium tonight, as they look for their third straight win over the Brewers and fourth in a row overall. The Cardinals aren’t making it easy on the Cubs in the NL Central. St. Louis enter Wednesday with a slim half game lead over the Cubs It’s shaping up to be a thrilling conclusion in the division.

This series has done the Brewers absolutely no favors in staying in the race, though. They’re sinking fast and are in desperate need of a win Wednesday. A loss and they suddenly find themselves in a five-game hole. A three-team race may quickly become a two-team race.

Last night the Cardinals poured it on late, with 8 runs between the 6th and 7th inning. The Brewers tacked on 2 runs in the top of the 8th, but the game was well out of reach, and St. Louis cruised to a 9-4 victory. Including a 5-4 win over the Reds, the Cardinals can go on a five-game winning streak with a victory on Wednesday.

It’s a double bonus for the Cardinals because it allows them to put some separation between them and the Brewers. If the Cubs win the division, the Cards may still have to contend with the Brewers, so it’s important that they keep Milwaukee away.

Right now, though, the Brewers find themselves 3.5 games out of a wildcard. They hold just a record of 64-62, but the National League has taken it easy on average teams this season. An average record could still get a team a ticket to the Wild Card Game at this pace.

Adrian Houser has been a nice option for the Brewers in their rotation this year. He will be called upon to try and help the Brew Crew avoid a sweep. Veteran Adam Wainwright is expected to counter. Head below for our free Brewers vs. Cardinals pick.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Brewers -110/Cardinals -110
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Adrian Houser (5-5, 3.76 ERA)
  • Adam Wainwright (9-8, 4.33 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Adam Wainwright knows how to pitch at home, we certainly know that much about the guy in 2019. If the Cardinals could just avoid sending Wainwright out on the road, if they reach the postseason, they’d be better off. His elite days are behind him, but he’s definitely looked like an elite hurler at Busch Stadium this year.

Wainwright enters with an ERA of 4.33, which is average enough. He’s turned it up five notches at home, with a 2.19 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 65.2 innings of work. In any event, Wainwright has been pitching well everywhere he’s gotten the chance recently.

Wainwright hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in his previous four outings. He also hasn’t surrendered more than 3 runs in eight out of his last ten starts. Wainwright doesn’t have that complete game ability any longer, but he can still clearly pitch the ball and allow his offense to go work for him. The Cards’ bats should be alive and well tonight against Houser. Yes, Houser has been rock solid, with a 3.76 ERA and 1.27 WHIP.

However, Houser hasn’t had the most pleasant time against the Cards in his young career. St. Louis are hitting an impressive .391 with a .462 OBP against Houser in 23 at-bats. Six batters in their lineup have connected for .500 or greater against him. Additionally, Houser has been shakier on the road, with a 4.24 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. The thinking here with the price is that the Brewers can’t get swept. I think their overrated club can most certainly get swept by a more complete Cardinals team in St. Louis, though. The Cards look like the play again on Wednesday.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.