Brewers vs. Marlins MLB Pick – September 9th

The Milwaukee Brewers impressed this weekend and it might be exactly what they needed. They were winners in three out of four games against the Cubs to get right back into the postseason hunt. The NL Central is out of reach at this point, but they’re back in the mix for a wildcard. Arizona have emerged out of the blue to become the first team out in the National League currently.

Behind them are the Brewers, who have a two-game deficit behind the Cubs for the final wildcard. That’s doable with a few weeks left in the regular season. There’s a lot of baseball games in there, but they have quality opponents around them as well. The Brewers can’t concern themselves with the competition and must focus on the Miami Marlins.

The Brewers are in Miami for the next four days and then off to St. Louis for a tricky matchup against the Cardinals at Busch Stadium. They have seven straight games following the Cardinals series and finish up the regular season against the Rockies in Colorado.

Hopefully by that point, the Brewers have set themselves up with a chance to go to the Wild Card Game. On paper, the Marlins are going to be their easiest opponent for the rest of the season. The Marlins go into Monday with a record of 51-91.

They put on an impressive display at home yesterday, as they blew out the visiting Royals by a score of 9-0. That’s a good look, but a more difficult opponent will be in town this week. Jordan Lyles and Robert Dugger are expected to get the starting nods here. Head below for our free Brewers vs. Marlins pick.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Brewers -190/Marlins +165
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Jordan Lyles (10-8, 4.46 ERA)
  • Robert Dugger (0-1, 4.00 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Acquiring Jordan Lyles didn’t look like much of a deal for the Brewers at first look, but the move has paid off really well. The Brewers traded for Lyles from the Pirates and he’s been one of their best pitchers in the rotation since. It was easy to see why most Brewer fans weren’t too confident in Lyles. He came to Milwaukee with an ERA of 5.36 in 17 starts as a Pirate.

The Brewers must have seen something in him that no one else did, because he’s been pitching like a totally different pitcher in Milwaukee. This is his second stint with the Brewers after spending part of 2010 with the Brewers. He posted a 3.31 ERA in 11 appearences with the team then and is finding similar success now that he’s back.

Lyles enters Miami with an ERA of 2.56 in seven outings which span across 38.2 innings. That’s a significant boost from the 5.36 ERA he had with the Pirates. In his most recent outings, Lyles has been excellent with a 1.53 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in his previous 17.1 innings on the hill. This wasn’t creampuff competition, either. His work against the Marlins has been effective, as he’s held them to a .234 average with just 1 home run yielded in 64 at-bats.

Robert Dugger will be making the fourth appearance of his career tonight. The prospect has made three starts for the Marlins and has been adequate. He got roughed up in his debut, with 6 earned runs allowed against the Mets in 5 innings, but settled down in his next two outings.

Dugger allowed 2 runs in the next 13 innings as he started to get comfortable on the mound. I think he’s going to keep the Marlins in this game through the early stages of this contest, though expect the Brewers to pull away late. I like the Brewers by a score of 6-3 or 5-2 here.

The Bet
BREWERS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.