Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals MLB Pick – June 11

The MLB is set up with another strong slate of baseball throughout June 11. Sixteen games are up on the board throughout Saturday. One of these games will be between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Washington Nationals. These two teams have struggled a bit on the season. This game will throw the first pitch at around 4:05 PM Eastern time.

Milwaukee has earned a record of 33-27 throughout this season, which has them sitting in second place of the NL Central. The Brewers have lost seven games in a row though and will look to get back on track. Milwaukee is half a game back on the top seeded St. Louis Cardinals. I expect the Brewers to come out fast on the road in this one.

The Nationals have put up a record of 22-38 so far on the season, which has them in last place of the NL East. Washington is coming off a win in their last game, which ended a three game losing streak. The Nationals will look to build on that win in this one. Washington will look for a fast start in their home ballpark.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win on Saturday. The Brewers have hit a wall as of late losing seven in a row and are 1-9 in their last ten games. Washington has struggled throughout this season, but will look to get back on track. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Milwaukee Brewers -1 ½ (+110) -155 Over 9 (-125)
Washington Nationals +1 ½ (-130) +130 Under 9 (+105)
Team Data Milwaukee Brewers Washington Nationals
Overall Record 33-27 22-38
Away/ Home Record 18-15 10-18
Batting Average .230 .257
Batting Average Away/ Home .225 .236
ERA 3.69 5.33
ERA Away/ Home 4.01 4.64

Betting Trends

Milwaukee Brewers

  • 1-8 in June games
  • 3-6 when playing on Saturday
  • 12-11 in day games
  • 9-12 against left handed starters
  • 2-2 after allowing 10 or more runs
  • 13-13 after a loss
  • 1-4 after three or more straight losses
  • 22-16 against team with a losing record

Washington Nationals

  • 4-5 in June games
  • 4-6 when playing on Saturday
  • 10-11 in day games
  • 9-12 against left handers
  • 6-14 after a win
  • 10-20 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up four times on the season. Tyrone Taylor had three RBI’s in the first two games as Milwaukee earned a 7-0 and 5-1 win. Juan Soto and Lane Thomas both had two RBI’s in the third matchup to lead the Nationals to an 8-2 win. Nelson Cruz and Josh Bell both had three RBI’s in Friday’s game as Washington earned a 11-5 win to open this series.

Offense

The Brewers have struggled a bit at the plate on the season. Milwaukee has earned a .230 batting average this season, which is 25th in the league. The Brewers have posted an OBP of .306, which is 21st in the MLB. Milwaukee has also put up a .699 OPS, which is 19th in the league. The Brewers have a BA of .213 against lefties.

Washington has been a bit better hitting the ball this season. The Nationals have a batting average of .257, which is 3rd in the MLB. Washington has earned a .321 on base percentage, which is 10th in the league. The Nationals have an OPS of .701, which is 18th in the MLB. Washington has hit .264 against left handers.

These two teams have had opposite seasons hitting the ball. The Nationals have been better at the plate on the season and will look to keep the bats going after scoring 11 runs on Friday night. Milwaukee will look to get their own offense going early. If either team can get some runs early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

Eric Lauer will likely get the start on the mound for Milwaukee in this one. Lauer has started in 10 games this season, going 5-1 in those matchups. He has posted a 2.38 ERA and a WHIP of 1.112 in those outings. Lauer’s last start was against the San Diego Padres. He gave up six hits and one earned run through six innings in the no decision.

I expect Patrick Corbin will get the nod at pitcher for the Nationals on Saturday afternoon. Corbin has earned a record of 2-8 throughout his 12 starts. He has put up an ERA of 6.71 and a 1.757 WHIP in his starts. Corbin gave up nine hits and three runs through six innings in his last start against the Cincinnati Reds, which was enough for the win.

These two pitchers have had opposite starts to the season. Milwaukee also has the edge with their bullpen in this one. The Brewers bullpen has posted a 3.95 ERA in their appearances. The Nationals bullpen has earned an ERA of 4.43 this season. If either team can get a complete pitching performance, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

The Brewers are coming off their seventh straight loss, but I think they can earn the win in this one. Milwaukee has the better pitcher on the mound and will look to get their bats going early in this one. Washington has struggled on the season and I do not think they will win back to back in this series. If the Brewers can grab the early lead, I think they can earn the win.

Bovada has Milwaukee listed as a -155 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Brewers will win this game around 60.8 percent of the time. I agree with this line, but I do not see a lot of value in it. Milwaukee is also listed at -1 ½ for +110. I think the Brewers will dominate on the mound and will cover the spread.

The Bet
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
+110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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