Brewers vs. Nationals MLB Pick – September 2nd

The Milwaukee Brewers and Washington Nationals continue their series on Sunday in the finale. The Nationals came from behind to win in fine fashion, 5-4, yesterday to stun the Brewers after a lengthy rain delay. Afters today, the Brewers welcome the Chicago Cubs in Milwaukee for a pivotal matchup. It’s unlikely that the Brewers can catch the Cubs, but it’s no sure thing for Chicago. The Cardinals are also in the mix with the Brew Crew.

Milwaukee had a hot start to open the season and lately it’s been the Cards turn to play quality baseball and jump back into the picture. The season looked like it was in the garbage for the Cardinals prior to firing Mike Matheny. After that happened, it sent a jolt through the organization. The Brewers can also reach the postseason with a strong finish to earn a wildcard berth. I’d like to see the Brewers and Cardinals meet in that game, but we’ll see how things shake out.

If you notice I didn’t mention the Nationals. Go back to April and it would have seemed a bit ridiculous to ignore the Nats. With all due respect to the Minnesota Twins, the Nats have had the most disappointing season in 2018. They are going to have to open the wallet and search for a Brinks truck to resign Bryce Harper, who is going to be looking for the best contract he can get in the offseason. Don’t expect him to take a hometown discount to stick around with the Nationals.

If they fail to lure him back to Washington, this era is going to be chalked up as a waste. Max Scherzer and Harper on the same team yet no postseason? That’s not a good look for the Nationals. Other than pride, they aren’t playing for anything at this point. They’ll send out Jefry Rodriguez to the bump, while the Brewers will counter with Junior Guerra. Head below for our free Brewers vs. Nationals pick for Sunday on the diamond.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals Pick

Junior Guerra (6-9, 4.09 ERA) vs. Jefry Rodriguez (2-1, 4.54 ERA)

Injuries to the Nationals’ pitching staff has forced them to look elsewhere to patch things up. They went to the minors to call up Jefry Rodriguez. Rodriguez is a rookie, who has, well, pitched like a rookie in six starts. He hasn’t been great, but he hasn’t been awful either.

A lot of rookie pitchers show glimpses of their potential; however, it usually isn’t consistently good. Rodriguez has taken the good with the bad in 2018. He enters Sunday with an ERA of 4.54, 1.43 WHIP, and .342 OBA. His ERA rises to 5.40 at home in Washington. This will be the Brewers first outing against Rodriguez in his career.

They might need to put some runs up on the board to back Guerra this afternoon. Guerra has been anything been good recently, as he’s allowed 14 earned runs hi last three outings. He was responsible for just 2 runs against the Reds at home two starts ago, but the Reds scored 7 runs with on the bump and 10 hits in 5.1 innings. In other words, it could have been worse.

Guerra enters with a 12.19 ERA, 3.00 WHIP, and .508 OBA in his previous three starts. He’s been good at home, but abysmal on the road, with an ERA of 6.75 and 1.71 WHIP compared to a 2.64 ERA and 1.27 WHIP at home. The Nats likely wake up to get the offense going against Guerra, after finally finding their stroke in the 8th inning yesterday. Jefry Rodriguez could run into some issues as well, though. There should be some runs between these two clubs, so a play on the OVER looks solid.

The Bet: OVER 9.5 (-125)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.