It was another big MLB night for us as we cashed in another nice underdog winner with the New York Mets blanking the favored Braves behind a gem from new acquisition Bartolo Colon. The finished strong an early with the Mariners and Angels cracking the 7.5 run threshold in the bottom of the seventh inning. It pushes the MLB early season record to a nice 14-3 with a handful of underdog winners.
Let’s see if we can keep things going on a Wednesday full of a lot of middle of the rotation starting pitchers taking the mound. Yesterday was the most offense-friendly day of the young season. Could we see even more runs denting the plate today?
Let’s dive in to today’s free picks:
Arizona Diamondbacks +124 at San Francisco Giants -133 (Total: 7.5)
Bronson Arroyo vs. Tim Lincecum
Bronson Arroyo pitched OK in his Snakes debut, allowing just two runs but pitching only 4.2 innings in losing effort (no decision for him personally). Meanwhile, the Tim Lincecum could still be good experiment is now three years in, and there isn’t a ton of evidence that The Freak will ever be The Freak again. He allowed four runs in six innings in his debut outing in 2014, and though they were some encouraging signs, he looks far from dominant.
The Diamonbacks’ offense has been decent. They are averaging 3.8 runs per game. The problem is they are giving up way more than 3.8 at a whopping 6.2. Tonight Arroyo gets the ball against a good Giant lineup.
I expect some runs in this contest, and the 7.5 feels about a half-run too low. I’ll take the low line and back the OVER tonight.
Milwaukee Brewers -122 at Philadelphia Phillies +115 (Total: 7.5)
Matt Garza vs. Roberto Hernandez
Both Garza and Hernandez looked good in their season debuts, especially Garza who took a no-hitter into the seventh inning. I’m surprised that Garza and the Brewers aren’t bigger favorites tonight, but I’ll take the slight favorite tonight at a reasonable price.
Milwaukee is off to a good start this season, and looks even more formidable after the Ryan Braun home run barrage yesterday. That doesn’t bode well for Santana today, as in 21 career games at Citizens Bank Field Braun is now batting .405 with 10 HR and 20 RBI. The Brew Crew offense in general has been solid, averaging 4.37 runs per contest, but their pitching and their oft-beleagured bullpen have been fantastic, limiting opponents to just 2.57 runs.
Again, I’ll take the better starting pitcher and the hotter lineup with the near even money wager tonight.