Brewers vs. Pirates MLB Pick – July 5th

The Milwaukee Brewers hope to bring the bats to life in Pittsburgh following a dormant period in Cincinnati. Milwaukee couldn’t score a run the last two days, as the Reds blanked them by scores of 3-0 and 1-0. Nothing wrong with what the pitching did, which has been a sticking point for the Brewers this season.

However, the offense hasn’t been clicking at all, as they will be looking for their first run scored in three games tonight. When the pitching actually does well, the offense decided to disappear all of the sudden. Let’s not ring the alarm balls just yet, though. It’s only two games and the Brewers are tied with the Cubs in the NL Central.

Tied for 1st in this case isn’t so great, but it could be worse if they were in another division, so they have that to feel thankful for. The Brewers are 46-42, as are the Cubs with the same record. 1st place grants an automatic bid, but there’s also the wildcard up for grabs.

It’s not looking pretty that the NL Central is going to have two teams in the postseason at the moment. Either win the division or there won’t be a seat at the table for the No. 2 team. At the end of the day, I don’t think Brewers’ fans are feeling too confident in their team, but everything is on the table as we inch closer to the All-Star Game.

Adding a reliable bat and arm has to be on the priority list for the Brewers at the trade deadline. Hoping that the Cubs are just going to suck more isn’t the best formula for success. There are a lot of pitchers out there, including help for their bullpen, so no excuses. Zach Davies expects to get the start for the Brewers on Friday, while the Pirates turn to Steven Brault, who has already started more games this season in his four-game major league career. Brault was a fixture in the bullpen last season, appearing in 45 games. Head below for our free Brewers vs. Pirates pick.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Brewers -120/Pirates +100
  • O/U: 10

Pitching Matchup:

  • Zach Davies (7-2, 3.24 ERA)
  • Steven Brault (3-1, 4.29 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

The Pittsburgh Pirates were pummeled in the series finale against the Cubs yesterday afternoon. It wasn’t much of a competition, as the Bucs steamrolled the Cubs by a score of 11-3. The Cubs exploded for 7 runs between the 5th and 6th inning to take a 11-3 win. That’s how the game would end with nothing more happening on the scoreboard. It wasn’t a good finish by the Pirates, but they were still able to win three out of four games.

Every game is going to be vital at this point in the NL Central. With the Reds win yesterday over the Brewers, they are just 3.5 games behind 1st. That’s a team who are currently 5th in the division, so that goes to show you how tight things are. Zach Davies had a rough go of it two outings ago, but rebounded in fine form in his most recent showing against the Pirates.

He allowed 6 hits and 1 earned run to edge out the Bucs for a 2-1 win. Davies has developed into the best option that the Brewers have in their rotation. He goes into Pittsburgh with an ERA of 3.24 in 91.2 innings of work. The road hasn’t bothering him much either, as he holds a 3.02 ERA in 50.2 innings pitched as a visitor.

The runs are going to have to come from somewhere, though. The offense has been non-existent the last two games, which the Reds were able to take advantage of. They won’t have to deal with the Reds’ potent bullpen here, so that’s a plus. Cincinnati are 4th in terms of relief work, while the Pirates are 23rd. Ryan Braun is expected back in the lineup after addressing a sore knee, but nothing has been finalized.

After falling silent, expect the Brewers to get their offense going Friday. Brault goes into Friday with a 4.84 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in Pittsburgh. His best asset is limiting the deep ball, but he likes to get himself into trouble on the bases. Brault owns a 1.59 WHIP and .367 OBP, so guys are finding their way on base. He’s allowed 6 walks in his last two games, so if he can clean up on that, Brault would have something going for himself. In this particular matchup Friday night, look for the Brewers to dust themselves off to avoid a four-game losing streak.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.