Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox MLB Pick – July 31

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball throughout July 31. Fifteen games are up on the board throughout Sunday. One of these games will be between the Milwaukee Brewers and Boston Red Sox. These two teams have been solid throughout the season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 1:35 PM Eastern time on MLB Network.

Milwaukee has earned a record of 57-44 throughout this season, which has them in first place of the NL Central. The Brewers have won four games in a row and are 7-3 throughout their last 10 games. Milwaukee has a three and a half game lead on the top spot of the division. The Brewers will look to remain strong in this one.

The Red Sox have put up a record of 50-52 so far on the season, which has them in last place of the AL East. Boston has lost two games in a row and have gone 2-8 in their last 10 matchups. The Red Sox are four and a half games back on the division lead in this one. Boston will look to grab a much needed win on Sunday afternoon.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a win in this one. The Brewers have a strong lead on the division, but will look to keep it going. Boston has struggled in their last stretch of games and will need to get back on track. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Milwaukee Brewers -1 ½ (+115) -130 Over 9 ½ (-115)
Boston Red Sox +1 ½ (-135) +108 Under 9 ½ (-105)
Team Data Milwaukee Brewers Boston Red Sox
Overall Record 57-44 50-52
Away/ Home Record 31-24 25-27
Batting Average .240 .254
Batting Average Away/ Home .238 .262
ERA 3.86 4.35
ERA Away/ Home 3.95 4.81

Betting Trends

Milwaukee Brewers

  • 13-10 in July games
  • 10-6 when playing on Sunday
  • 11-3 in inter-league games
  • 24-19 in day games
  • 41-28 against right handed starters
  • 34-24 against team with a losing record

Boston Red Sox

  • 7-19 in July
  • 10-6 when playing on Sunday
  • 5-7 in inter-league play
  • 15-18 in day games
  • 16-8 against left handers
  • 20-29 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up twice throughout the season. Milwaukee had four players earn an RBI in the first game as the Brewers grabbed a 4-1 win. Hunter Renfroe had a two run homer in the second meeting. Omar Narvaez and Tyrone Taylor both had a solo shot. Milwaukee earned a 9-4 win to take this three game set.

Offense

The Brewers have been strong hitting the ball on the season. Milwaukee has a .240 batting average, which is 18th in the MLB. The Brewers have earned an OBP of .320, which is 8th in the league. Milwaukee has posted a .737 OPS, which is 7th in the MLB. The Brewers have a BA of .247 against righties this season.

Boston has been strong at the plate throughout the season. The Red Sox have a batting average of .254, which is 5th in the league. Boston has put up a .316 on base percentage, which is 13th in the MLB. The Red Sox have earned an OPS of .725, which is 11th in the league. Boston has hit .263 against left handers.

These two teams have been solid at the plate and will look to hit well early in this one. Milwaukee has 22 hits and 13 runs over the first two games of this set. The Red Sox have earned 17 hits and 5 runs in those games. Boston will look to step up in this one. If either team can hit well early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

I expect Aaron Ashby to get the start at pitcher for Milwaukee in this one. Ashby has appeared in 19 games this season, going 2-8 in those matchups. He has posted a 4.38 ERA and a WHIP of 1.43 in those outings. Ashby’s last start was against the Colorado Rockies. He gave up five hits and two runs through seven innings in the loss

Josh Winckowski will likely get the nod on the mound for the Red Sox on Sunday afternoon. Winckowski has earned a record of 3-5 throughout his 8 starts this season. He has put up an ERA of 5.18 and a 1.50 WHIP in those games. Winckowski pitched three innings in his last start against the Cleveland Guardians. He gave up six hits and five runs in the losing effort.

Winckowski has lost his last four starts entering this one, while Ashby has lost his last two starts. Both pitchers will look to bounce back with a much needed win in this one. The Brewers have the edge in the bullpen in this one. Milwaukee’s relievers have combined for an ERA of 3.92, which is 17th in the league. Boston’s bullpen has a 4.32 ERA, which is 25th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

Milwaukee has had an impressive showing in Boston so far, winning the first two games of this set. The Brewers will look to pull off the sweep with a win on Sunday. I think the Red Sox will bounce back though as they try to get back in the running for a wild card spot. If Boston can come out fast at the plate, I think they could earn the win.

Bovada has Milwaukee listed as a -130 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Brewers will win this game around 56.5 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with Boston at home. Both pitchers have struggled as of late as well. As underdogs, I like the value on the Red Sox to earn the win.

The Bet
Boston Red Sox
+108
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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