Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick – June 17

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball action on June 17. Sixteen games are up on the board throughout Friday night. One of these games will be between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Cincinnati Reds. These two teams have had opposite starts to the season, but will look for a win in this one. This game will start at around 6:40 PM Eastern time.

Milwaukee has earned a record of 35-30 throughout this season, which has them sitting in second place of the NL Central. The Brewers are two games back on the division and a game and a half out of a wild card spot. Milwaukee has lost their last game and ten of their last twelve. The Brewers will look for a big win on the road in this one.

The Reds have put up a record of 23-40 so far on the season, which has them in last place of the NL Central. Cincinnati is coming off a loss in their last game, which ended a three game winning streak. The Reds have fallen far out of the playoff picture, but will look to get back on track. Cincinnati will look for a big win as they host the first game of this set.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Brewers have been the better overall team this season, but have struggled as of late. Cincinnati has been the better team recently and will look to keep it up. If either team can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Milwaukee Brewers -1 ½ (+150) -110 Over 9 ½ (-110)
Cincinnati Reds +1 ½ (-175) -110 Under 9 ½ (-110)
Team Data Milwaukee Brewers Cincinnati Reds
Overall Record 35-30 23-40
Away/ Home Record 20-18 12-17
Batting Average .233 .239
Batting Average Away/ Home .230 .268
ERA 3.72 5.19
ERA Away/ Home 4.01 5.42

Betting Trends

Milwaukee Brewers

  • 3-11 in June games
  • 4-5 when playing on Friday
  • 19-11 against divisional opponents
  • 22-18 in night games
  • 25-17 against right handed starters
  • 15-14 after a loss
  • 23-17 against team with a losing record

Cincinnati Reds

  • 6-9 in June games
  • 2-7 when playing on Friday
  • 4-5 when playing with a day off
  • 10-13 against divisional opponents
  • 13-24 in night games
  • 7-11 against left handed starters
  • 11-28 after a loss
  • 8-25 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up six times throughout this season. The first three games were in Milwaukee between May 3-5. Rowdy Tellez had ten RBI’s through those three games, while Willy Adames had seven RBI’s. The Brewers got the sweep in that set. The next three games were in Cincinnati, where the Reds won two of the three.

Offense

The Brewers have struggled a bit at the plate this season. Milwaukee has a batting average of .233, which is 24th in the league. The Brewers have posted a .307 OBP, which is 22nd in the MLB. Milwaukee has earned an OPS of .702, which is 17th in the league. The Brewers have also hit .238 against right handers.

Cincinnati has been a bit better hitting the ball on the season. The Reds have a .239 BA, which is 19th in the MLB this season. Cincinnati has earned an on base percentage of .309, which is also 19th in the league. The Reds have a .688 OPS, which is 21st in the MLB. Cincinnati has a batting average of .247 against lefties.

The Reds have been a bit better hitting the ball on the season and will look to get going early in this one. Milwaukee has struggled heavily in this rough stretch at the plate and will look to turn it around against Cincinnati. If either team can get their bats going early in this one, it could be enough to lead them to the win on Friday night.

Pitching Preview

Eric Lauer will likely get the start on the mound for Milwaukee on Friday night. Lauer has earned a record of 5-2 throughout his 11 starts on the season. He has posted a 3.36 ERA and a WHIP of 1.200 in those outings. Lauer pitched five innings in his last start against the Washington Nationals. He gave up seven hits and eight runs in the losing effort.

I expect Hunter Greene to get the nod at pitcher for the Reds in this one. Greene has started in 12 games this season, going 3-7 in those starts. He has put up an ERA of 5.10 and a 1.300 WHIP in his matchups. Greene’s last start was against the St. Louis Cardinals. He gave up two hits and one run in the no decision.

These two pitchers have been solid this season with Lauer having the slight edge. Milwaukee also has a big edge with their bullpen in this one. The Brewers relievers have posted a combined ERA of 3.66, which is 12th in the league. Cincinnati’s bullpen has a 5.15 ERA, which is 30th in the MLB. Both teams will look for pitching to step up early in this one.

Pick Overview

The Brewers have struggled a bit in their recent stretch of games, but I think they can bounce back early in this one. Milwaukee has the better pitcher on the mound and bullpen. The Brewers will look to step up at the plate against Greene in this one. If Milwaukee can get an early lead on the road in this one, I think they can earn the win.

Bovada has both teams listed as a -110 against the money line in this one. This gives even odds to both teams to earn the win on Friday night. I think that this line should be in favor of the Brewers with Lauer getting the start. Milwaukee will look to get back on a winning streak with this series. At even odds, I like the value on the Brewers on Saturday.

The Bet
Milwaukee Brewers
-110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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