Brewers vs. Reds MLB Pick – September 25th

The Milwaukee Brewers will be looking for more on Wednesday night, as they seek a six-game win streak in Cincinnati tonight. Along with six straight wins, the Brewers have gone 15-2 in their previous 17 games. Elsewhere in the wildcard race, the Chicago Cubs faltered again in the face of pressure. The Cubs were big losers against the Pittsburgh Pirates by a score of 9-2.

That is a Pirates team who have been playing awful baseball in September. Their heads have been out of it, but they met their match last night. The Cubs have appeared to throw in the towel on the season. They’ve slipped to 5 games back of the final wildcard and into a tie with the Mets. The team that they’re trying to catch lost their MVP, but have found a way to excel with adversity staring right at them.

This team are doing a might fine job of proving that the Brewers are more than just Christian Yelich. Having said that, I think the injury brought everyone together. It isn’t like the Brewers are a better team without Yelich. He is arguably the best hitter in baseball, so you don’t get better be subtracting a guy like him.

However, like golf, baseball can be a mental game and thinking clearly goes a long way. Now, the Brewers are unable to slow down now, though. They are likely playing in the Wild Card Game against the Nationals, so that is not going to be easy. It could all come crashing down fast. That said, the Brewers get credit for getting to this point to begin with.

The acquisition of Jordan Lyles was a sneaky good move by Milwaukee. He’s not the biggest name in baseball, but he’s been giving the Brewers some big results on the bump. Lyles is scheduled to pitch against Tyler Mahle in this matchup. Head below for our free Brewers vs. Reds pick.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Brewers -140/Pirates +120
  • O/U: 9

Pitching Matchup:

  • Jordan Lyles (11-8, 4.17 ERA)
  • Tyler Mahle (2-11, 4.93 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Jordan Lyles was doing absolutely nothing on the Pirates. He was on a losing team and struggling to find confidence. The Brewers threw him a raft to stay afloat and he’s been looking great and has his head way above water. Lyles spent a bit of time in Milwaukee as a reliever last season. It was some of the best work in his career, as he posted an ERA of 3.31 in 11 appearences out of the bullpen. As soon as he went to a different destination, though, things began to go south again.

The Brewers brought him back in a trade earlier this season and he’s been pitching well. In 17 starts with the Pirates, Lyles was shaky with a 5.36 ERA. He got new life in Milwaukee, instantly things changed for the better. Lyles owns a 2.35 ERA in 10 starts with the Brewers. In his previous three outings, he’s posted a 1.80 ERA and has allowed 2 or fewer runs in six straight starts, including five out of six outings with 1 or no runs allowed.

It’s hard to ignore what kind of a pitcher he’s been in Milwaukee vs other cities. If he knows what’s best for him, he’ll sign whatever deal with the Brewers give him to stay in Milwaukee. His counterpart this evening, Tyler Mahle, has been struggling mightily. He has only two wins on the season and has been getting touched up recently. Mahle owns a 6.59 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in his previous 13.2 innings pitched. Note that he’s surrendered at least 4 earned runs in four of his last six outings. The Brewers are rolling and I don’t see the Reds slowing them down tonight.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.