Brewers vs. Rockies MLB Pick – September 28th

The Milwaukee Brewers and Colorado Rockies play their second last game of the regular season at Coors Field on Saturday. For the Brewers, they are moving likely on to the postseason against the Washington Nationals. The Nationals and Brewers will meet in the Wild Card Game, if the standings hold, to decide who advances to play the Braves in the NLDS. Atlanta are wrapping up their season against the Mets in Queens this weekend. The main focus for the Brewers is on the Nats at this point. The next two days is meaningless baseball against the Rockies at Coors Field.

A primary objective for the Brewers is to get to the postseason healthy. They failed in the regard Friday night. Ryan Braun left the contest with a calf strain and will be unavailable Saturday and likely Sunday. Even if he could play, there is no point in running Braun out there injured. Braun is undergoing an MRI on his calf to investigate if there was any serious damage done.

If that is the case, then the Brewers just suffered a major injury. Braun has been one of the guys in the lineup stepping up without Christian Yelich. It’d be a blow for the Brewers if it’s something that is bothering him badly. Along with Braun, Mike Moustakas has missed time recently with a bruised hand. He was held out of the lineup on Friday because of a sore elbow, so Moustakas has been attending to some health issues as well.

The Brewers are playing for the division right now, but suffered a huge blow to their cause a night ago. The bullpen took a beating, as they allowed 7 runs after Zach Davies was strong in 5 innings. Milwaukee are a game behind the Cardinals. If they happen to tie, then there will be a tiebreaker game to decide the winner of the NL Central.

With a postseason spot clinched, they got the most important thing out of the way already, though. Gio Gonzalez is expected to get the call for the Brewers, while Brandon Woodruff gets the day off to rest. Chi Chi Gonzalez will counter for the Rockies. Head below for our free Brewers vs. Rockies pick.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Brewers -165/Rockies +135
  • O/U: 12.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Gio Gonzalez (3-2, 3.70 ERA)
  • Chi Chi Gonzalez (2-6, 5.68 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

The Brewers’ bullpen melted down at Coors Field last night to damper their chance of homefield in the Wild Card Game or catching the Cardinals for the NL Central. Clinching a spot in the postseason is already a win for the Brewers, though. They were counted out the minute Christian Yelich went down, so the fact they are fighting for the NL Central at this juncture is an impressive feat for Milwaukee. No matter what happens the next two days, they’ll at a minimum be playing in the Wild Card Game.

Milwaukee will see Chi Chi Gonzalez on Saturday. In most cases, that would be great for the Brewers. However, Chi Chi has been figuring out how to pitch down the stretch and he’s been doing it against some worthy opponents as well. He hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in four straight games, two of which came against the Dodgers.

Chi Chi was also lights out against the Padres and Cardinals. He enters Saturday with an ERA of 2.20 and 1.16 WHIP in his last three starts. Keeping the ball down was the most impressive feat by Chi Chi. He gave up just 1 home run and that included two outings at Coors Field. He was the sharpest in his most recent start, as he held the Dodgers to just 2 hits and no runs across 5 innings of play.

Gio has been to Coors Field in the past and it’s been a mediocre stop for him on the major league circuit. He’s gotten hit for a 4.60 ERA in 15.2 innings in Denver. Gonzalez hasn’t made a start since September 12th after a shaky outing against the Marlins. He managed to allow only 2 earned runs, but he was tagged for 7 hits in 4 innings to get himself into trouble. Runs can add up in a hurry doing that at Coors Field. With the Brewers focused on the postseason and possibly without Braun and Moustakas, consider the value pick with the Rockies on Saturday.

The Bet
ROCKIES
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.