Brewers vs. Twins MLB Pick – May 27th

Memorial Day means baseball all day long on a Monday. There is a bevy of action in the afternoon for the holiday, with a few night games to wrap up the day. The surging Minnesota Twins welcome the Milwaukee Brewers for a two-day stay in this interleague meeting. The Twins are fresh off making easy work of the Chicago White Sox over the weekend.

They were winners in three straight for the sweep, while outscoring the White Sox by a combined score of 26-5. The Twins are on a five-game winning streak, along with a record of 11-1 wins in their previous 12 games. They are leaving the Cleveland Indians looking up wondering what in the world is going on in the AL Central.

The Indians’ stranglehold on the division from last season is well in the past and I don’t think they are aware what hit them yet. The Twins have opened up a whopping 10-game lead in the AL Central after a sweep of the White Sox. Cleveland dropped two of three against the Rays at home.

They were unable to keep up with the red-hot Twins and fell back a little more in the division. Is it time for the Indians to start focusing on the wildcard and forget about catching the Twins? Well, it’s only May 27th and the Twins could fall hard just as the Indians get hot.

A double-digit deficit this quickly goes to show how well Minnesota are playing at the moment, though. The Brewers roll into town after blowing the Phillies out on Sunday afternoon. They needed the win to avoid a sweep and lose their fourth game in five outings. The Cubs were blown out, 10-2, so the Brewers go into the new week down by 1.5 games. Head below for our free Brewers vs. Twins pick.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Twins -115/Brewers -105
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 2.39 ERA)
  • Michael Pineda (4-3, 5.43 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

The Twins are on a serious roll and have been getting contributions from just about everyone. Instead of recoiling some more after a disappointing 2018, they’ve appeared to use it as a teaching lesson and are out flying this season. Eddie Rosario has been having a coming out party this season, as he leads the team in home runs with 15 and RBI’s at 42.

Rosario hasn’t been the only one, though. There are already four Twins that have reached double-digit home runs this year. The one guy in Minnesota who hasn’t been thriving has to be Michael Pineda. Pineda would be looking good in Baltimore right about now, but on a team with everyone else producing, he’s been a weak link in the rotation. Pineda goes into Monday with an ERA of 5.43 and 1.30 WHIP. It’s been a while since he has allowed less than 3 runs in a game. That came on April 6th against the Phillies when he gave up 2 runs in 5 innings.

He has faced trouble at home in 2019 with the Twins. In his first season as a Twin, Pineda has posted an ERA of 6.20 and 1.28 WHIP in 24.2 innings at home. He has seen Mike Moustakas the most on this roster from his time with the Royals. Moustakas is hitting .389 with 2 home runs against Pineda in 18 at-bats. As a team, they’ve done pretty good against Pineda, as they’re hitting .295 with a .333 OBP in 61 at-bats.

Despite being blazing hot, the Twins haven’t seen as much success against Gio Gonzalez. They are hitting .212 with 1 home run in 52 at-bats against Gio. He has been on fire recently as well. Since rejoining the rotation in late April, Gonzalez has been outstanding with a 2.39 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. He has looked good in three outings on the road with a 1.69 ERA as well.

Thus far it has looked like the 2017 Washington Nationals version of Gio Gonzalez. He finished with a 2.96 ERA before being traded to Milwaukee last season. After a sweep against a divisional foe, look for the Twins to suffer a minor setback against the Brewers on Memorial Day. Gonzalez tops Pineda and the Brewers likely hand the Twins a rare loss in May.

The Bet
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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.