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Brewers vs. Twins MLB Pick – August 7th

A small slate tonight, as a few interleague games take the spotlight on Monday. While there aren’t many games being played on the schedule, there are some important games on the docket. The chase for the postseason is in full-swing and some unlikely newcomers have thrown their hats into the arena. Two of those teams are the Milwaukee Brewers and Minnesota Twins.

The Twins have some work to do, but down 3.5 games from a wildcard, they’re still in the mix. Problem being, there are four other teams in front of them who all are on the outside. Meanwhile, the Brewers are one spot out of a wildcard, yet are back by 5 games of the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Last season, the Brewers finished 14 games back of the postseason, so this is a step in the right direction for them. It would be bitter sweet to be the last team out, though. They won two of three against the Rays and Cardinals in their last two series, but they were unable to finish the job and get a sweet yesterday. The Brewers head out to Minnesota to begin their week.

If anything, the pitching has been terrific for the Brewers. A little offense would help immensely. In their last four games they’ve allowed just 3 runs for an average of 0.75 runs per game. They should have won behind a stellar performance from Jimmy Nelson, but failed to score more than a run on the day.

The Brew Crew will send Brent Suter to the hump where he’ll look to spin another quality start together. The Twins will counter with Ervin Santana who hasn’t been his best since the All-Star break. We’ll break it down some more below and hopefully deliver a winning pick to get the week started.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Pick

Brent Suter (2-2, 3.04 ERA) vs. Ervin Santana (12-7, 3.28 ERA)

Brent Suter has made just seven starts for the Brewers in 2017 but he’s been pulling his weight in place of Chase Anderson. He got a couple of spot starts a year ago and pitched well enough, with a 3.32 ERA through 21.2 innings. Since July 3rd he’s made six starts and pitched great in all but one outing. He recently allowed 5 runs against the Cards in his last start, which ended a streak of not allowing more than 2 runs. In fact, in three of those six outings, Suter surrendered 1 or no runs.

Suter had three consecutive starts on the road, and handled the Yankees, Pirates, and Phillies easily, giving up 2, 2, and 1 run. Conversely, Santana has been showing some signs of slowing down. He posted an ERA of 5.21 in his last three, including a 4.09 ERA at home in Minnesota. Note that he is coming off a complete game. He tossed 110 pitches in total. In total, 211 pitches in his last two games. Eric Thames has had his number, belting 2 long balls and a .313 BA in 16 at-bats. Ryan Braun has also hit Santana for a .375 average. Suter has been filling in nicely for the injured Chase Anderson. The motivation factor is definitely working in his favor, as he seeks to cling on in the rotation for 2018. I like him as a slight dog over the Twins on Monday.

PICK: BREWERS (+115)

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