Cardinals vs. Brewers MLB Pick – August 26th

In what is the biggest series of the year for the Milwaukee Brewers thus far, they welcome the St. Louis Cardinals for a three-game date to begin the week. The Brewers have some catching up to do and a successful series against the Cardinals at home would help in that regard. The NL Central is going to be tough, but they are still within reach at 4 games back of the Cardinals.

It’s going to be easier to make a run at the NL Wild Card Game. The Cubs have the final spot in the postseason, while the Phillies are back by 2 games and the Brewers are 2.5 games behind. In other words, it has to be go time for the Brewers with September approaching.

The Brewers weren’t able to get the sweep the Diamondbacks, but won two of three games over the weekend. They were on a three-game winning streak, which included a win over the Cardinals before losing yesterday afternoon. The Cardinals were winners in two out of three games in St. Louis, though. Milwaukee must protect their homefield just like the Cardinals did against them.

A sweep and the Brewers are suddenly a game back of the Cardinals. The Cubs tanked this weekend after getting swept by the Nationals. No one has seemed to want this division all season, and because of that, it’s still up for grabs. The Cardinals have been playing the best baseball of the bunch in the second-half. They weren’t even being mentioned in the NL Central race before they started getting going in the last two months or so.

The Cardinals enter Miller Park with some hot bats after topping the Rockies for the fourth straight game yesterday. They put up 11 runs yesterday, led by 3 RBI’s by Dexter Fowler. Fowler is giving the Cardinals what a lot of teams around them don’t have. He’s rounding into his potential as a deadly leadoff guy for the Cardinals. Veteran Adam Wainwright will be get the start for the Cards in this one, while the Brewers will counter with Gio Gonzalez. Head below for our free Cardinals vs. Brewers pick.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Brewers -126/Cardinals +106
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Adam Wainwright (9-9, 4.51 ERA)
  • Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.64 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Adam Wainwright has been giving the Cardinals just about all you can ask from the guy this point at his career. He’s been through just about everything, which includes multiple injuries that he’s had to work through. Wainwright has been especially valuable in St. Louis for the Cards. He’s been quite effective at home in 2019, with a 2.67 ERA in 70.2 innings of work. However, the road has told a much different story for Wainwright.

He has posted an ERA of 6.64 with a 1.57 WHIP and .367 OBA as a visiting pitcher. For whatever reason he’s also pitched much better in afternoon starts. Wainwright holds a 2.23 ERA and 1.13 WHIP during the day and a 5.58 ERA and 1.55 WHIP at night. At this point in the season, it’s a decent enough sample size with 131.2 innings pitched. The Brewers have been solid against Wainwright, as they are hitting .276 with 19 runs scored in 199 at-bats.

While the Brewers have been solid against Wainwright, the Cardinals have been excellent against Gio Gonzalez. They are hitting .351 with a .409 OBP against Gio in 174 at-bats. That also includes 28 runs scored with 5 long balls. Fowler, who has been seeing the ball well recently, is hitting .423 and a home run against Gonzalez.

The Cards have also gotten solid production out of Kolten Wong and Matt Wieters against him. They’re hitting .400 and .588 in a total of 27 at-bats. Elsewhere in the lineup, Yadier Molina is hitting .385 and Paul Goldschmidt .500. Gio hasn’t been good at home as on the road. He holds a 4.26 ERA compared to a 3.18 ERA on the road. This game is likely going to see a final score with more than 9 runs on the scoreboard.

The Bet
OVER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.