Cardinals vs. Cubs Pick MLB – Aug 12th

It took a few extra innings, but we got our win eventually to get back on track and snap a brief skid.  The Cubbies surrendered a 3-2 lead in the seventh, but held the rope from there to win in the bottom of the 11th on an Anthony Rizzo walk-off walk.  It isn’t the most exciting way to win a big baseball game, but it certainly makes for some tension watching a nervous reliever try to dance around the plate and nibble.  The batter prior, Kris Bryant, struck out with the bases loaded, so the two-out at bat for Rizzo had some definitely pressure.  Rizzo, in my opinion, the MVP of the league (though his teammate Kris Bryant will likely get more votes, and the split could potentially open the door for the also-deserving Daniel Murphy) came through with a disciplined, patient at-bat – a hallmark of the hitter he has become.

The Cubs will look to further inflict some damage on the all-but-mathematical NL Central lead this afternoon against the Cards for game two of four, featuring Adam Wainwright against Jake Arrieta.

And we will look to build on last night’s dramatic winner with another on (hopefully less stressful) tonight.

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Today’s Free Pick:

St. Louis Cardinals +185 at Chicago Cubs -200 (Total: 7.5)  **** 2:20 EST START

Adam Wainwright (9-6, 4.34 ERA) vs. Jake Arrieta (13-5, 2.59 ERA)

If you just look at the post-All Star Break performances, this matchup is back to the mismatch it would have clearly looked like back in May.  However, during the month of July, it was a different story.  Adam Wainwright appeared to finally be, well, Adam Wainwright again.  His disastrous first month and a half seemed well behind him and he was pitching like the top of the rotation guy he had always been prior to the season-ending injury in 2014.  Meanwhile, Jake Arrieta was crashing down from arguably the greatest 12 month pitching run in MLB history.  His July saw him lose three times and the Cubs lose EVERY time.

But tonight still looks like a mismatch, and perhaps a return to the good old “Jake is an ATM” days on early 2016.  In his last two starts, he has allowed just two runs over 15 innings and allowed only nine baserunner for a WHIP of 0.60.  Adam Wainwright has allowed 12 runs in his last three starts, spanning just 17.2 innings and has allowed a whopping 31 baserunner for a WHIP approaching 2.00.

The Cubs are winners of ten straight and have their ace back in ACE form.  The Cardinals are staggering and have a staggering starter on the hill tonight.  It has Cubs blowout written all over it, so I am willing to swallow the extra run and get back on the Arrieta bandwagon at a great, great price of +105.

Reminder – this is a day game (2:20 start, so get in early if you are so inclined)

Free Pick:  Chicago Cubs RUNLINE (-1.5)  +105