Cardinals vs Cubs Pick MLB – July 14th

Yesterday was obviously the day of the pitcher, and the resurgent pitcher at that.  The highlight of the evening was obviously the no-hitter by Tim Lincecum.  The two-time Cy Young winner is several years removed from his Cy Young form; in fact this season he boasts a losing record and a near-five ERA.

In other action, Zack Greinke took his near 1.50 WHIP and whipped up a two-hit shutout against the Rockies.  It was an impressive performance, and led to an impressive loss for me.  NOT a good night to have the OVER (as several of you have pointed out via email… haha).

No matter how close or far, a loss is a loss, just like a win is a win.  So, I’ll take my humiliating loss in stride and try to finish off the first half of the season with a nice win.  Let’s dig into the final, final game of the first half of the season, tonight’s Sunday Night ESPN Game…

St. Louis Cardinals -151 at Chicago Cubs +141 (Total:7)

Adam Wainwright (12-5, 2.30 ERA) vs. Travis Wood (6-6, 2.69 ERA)

The Cardinals with a win tonight will wrap up the unofficial first-half of the season with the best record in all of baseball with a win today and a Pirates loss, and they’ll have the ace of their staff (not to mentioned completely overlooked All-Star Game starter candidate – his numbers are right in line with Harvey, Corbin, and the rest) on the hill to do it.

Facing him is one of the more pleasant surprise, and fellow All-Star, Travis Wood.  Wood’s first half has been fantastic, and despite a few mid-season wobbles, his last three starts have been even better.  He has a 1.89 ERA with a microscopic WHIP of 0.84.  He faces a Cardinal lineup with a ton of pop and a lineup FULL of All-Stars, however it is also a lineup that hits .280 against righties yet nearly 50 points lower against southpaws at .231.  That bodes well for Wood, who has been one of the better lefties in baseball this season.

It’s hard to see the Cubs mustering many runs against Wainwright though.  There’s a reason why Wood is just 6-6, it is because the Cubs don’t score enough runs and have been a train wreck in the bullpen.  I see a similar fate tonight; a nice low-scoring game, but one the Cubs bullpen is called on to try and win.  That hasn’t happened very often in 2013.  Wood may be a disappointing .500 on the season, but the Cubs are a lousy 7-11 in game he’s started.   I am usually a big fan of starters with ERA’s under 3.00 getting near +150 money, but with Wainwright on the hill, it’s hard to go against the Cards.

There’s not a ton of value with St. Louis, but I don’t see Wainwright losing, so I’ll take the -150 and the small win.  My main play tonight is the UNDER 7.  I like a nice 3-2, 2-1, 3-0 type ball game tonight, in the Cards favor.

Free Picks:  St. Louis Cardinals to WIN -151, Run TOTAL UNDER 7