A solid series between two of the seasons early heavyweights continues tonight in New York. Calling the Mets a heavyweight has me searching for answers to if this is just a really good start for them or if it’s a sign of things to come. Matt Harvey is going to need to bounce back to the guy we seen a couple of seasons ago come out of nowhere to pitch brilliantly. An injury derailed his 2014 but he appears back on track here this season. Last night he led the Mets to a big 2-1 win to bring the Mets to a record of 23-16. So, before I call them a true heavyweight we will have to see how things unfold in the next two months, because the way baseball is, a bad run will have them under .500 in no time and the Mets will simply be back to being the regular old Mets. Like I said though, a healthy Matt Harvey is a good start. The Mets are currently 1st in the NL East, with the Cardinals holding those honors in the NL Central.
Harvey could provide a big year for the Mets this season. Meanwhile, the Cards are undergoing something similar from what the Mets faced last season. Harvey was on the shelf then and now Adam Wainwright has taken a seat with a shoulder injury. If you’re a good pitcher your career ultimately comes down to staying healthy. The amount of money made is decided on healthy the arm is. Harvey can make a lot of money for a long time, if he stays healthy. Same can be said for Michael Wacha. Knock on wood as we talk about injuries here. I surely hope that something doesn’t happen to Wacha now ha. Anyways, stay healthy, and he should be one rich pitcher as well. Wacha by all means deserves it in St. Louis. He’s not on the level of being a Kershaw or Justin Verlander, where his name resonates with everyone, but he might not be far off from being there. He has a formidable opponent tonight against the Mets.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. N.Y. Mets
Michael Wacha (5-0, 2.06 ERA) vs. Jon Niese (3-3, 2.49 ERA)
Jon Niese was one of the pitchers on the Mets’ staff last season that tried to be the glue that kept the pitching together after Harvey went out. For all intent and purposes, Niese did a pretty good job, one that you couldn’t expect him to do much more of. While most pitchers regress as they get older, Niese has actually been getting better. He’s been improving for the greater parts of the last few seasons, and looks to be having the best of his career in 2015. Niese is a long-stay with the Mets, as he comes into his eighth season with the club. Here he has a 2.49 ERA with a razor sharp 1.35 ERA pitching at home. He’s allowed only 3 runs in three starts at home.
Wacha shouldn’t go quietly tonight, as he bests Niese with a 2.06 ERA and a perfect 5-0 record. He’s also been on a roll lately, posting a 1.53 ERA in his last three starts. Wacha has also performed better on the road, with a 1.85 ERA compared to 2.33 at home. This series has a very strong history of going UNDER. Note that the UNDER has gone 11-1-1 in their last thirteen meetings. So it’s a pretty significant trend. I don’t see who it ends tonight with Wacha and Niese meeting up. I lean the Cards, but my official play is on the UNDER 7.
PICK: UNDER 7 RUNS (-108)