Cardinals vs. Nationals MLB Pick – September 4th

The Washington Nationals stung the St. Louis Cardinals with a come from behind victory on Labor Day. Barring an unforeseen comeback by the Nats, they aren’t playing for much now. A stretch of 1-5 baseball a few weeks ago pretty well solidified their status as a non-postseason team. Everyone had been waiting for the Nationals to go on a monster run to throw their hat in the postseason arena.

That never happened, and they are 7.5 back in the NL East and 7 games back of a wildcard. That’s one huge mountain to overcome with only a month left in the regular season. It’s not impossible, realistically this season is done for the Nationals. They can play spoiler and block others from going to the postseason, though. The Nats did their part yesterday, with a thrilling 4-3 victory over the Cards.

Bryce Harper tied it up in the 9th inning with a deep bomb, and then won it in the 10th win a sac-fly. It was the first homer for Harper in 61 at-bats, so it was nice for him to not only get off the snide, but do it when it matters. Harper has come up short in big moments this season and that was a good feel moment for him.

It’s going to be a good feel moment regardless in the offseason. A team is going to give him a hefty contract, which is going to give him plenty of reasons to smile soon. The Cardinals missed a chance yesterday to keep pace in the wildcard race. It’s up for grabs at the moment, with several teams in the mix for the final postseason spot in the National League. Miles Mikolas will look to get the Cards back in the win column. The Nationals are scheduled to go with Erick Fedde. Fedde will be making his first start since July 4th after he was placed on the 60-day DL. Head below for our free Cardinals vs. Nationals pick.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals Pick

Miles Mikolas (13-4, 2.96 ERA) *Pitching Change vs. Erick Fedde (1-3, 5.79 ERA)

Erick Fedde saw three starts in 2017 as a rookie and it didn’t go so well for him. He was abused on the bump for an ERA of 9.39 in 15.1 innings pitched. Due to injuries to the rotation, Fedde was called up from the minor leagues to provide some support early this season. He had six starts before he had to hit the disabled list for the Nationals.

It has been a big disappointment for Stephen Strasburg, as his injury has really caused a significant blow in 2018 for the Nats. Fedde was struggling before going on the DL, as he returns to the mound with an ERA of 5.79, 1.64 WHIP, and .380 OBA. Fedde went to the disabled list after posting a 6.00 ERA, 1.92 WHIP, and .426 OBA in his previous three outings. He lasted just 1 inning against the Red Sox before he had to take a seat with an injury.

Miles Mikolas has been a pleasant surprise for the Cardinals this season. In the absence of Adam Wainwright, the rotation has really stepped up. Mikolas was a fringe guy that has earned his money with the Cards in 2018. The Nationals have handled Mikolas, though, as they are hitting .320 with a .346 OBP against him. Harper and Juan Soto have both gone deep on Mikolas.

The offense came to help him in a 7-6 win over the Nationals on August 13th. He’s also been shaky recently, with a 4.02 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, and .375 OBA in his last three and his numbers have been better at home. I don’t have much faith in Fedde holding up, though. This looks like a 6-5 or 7-4 final, so a play on the OVER looks suitable.

The Bet: OVER 9 (-110)

*Pitching Change

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.