Cardinals vs. Padres MLB Pick – June 30th

The St. Louis Cardinals are not having a fun time in San Diego this weekend. The weather may be beautiful, but it hasn’t been beautiful at the office for the Cardinals against the Padres. They will try and fend off a sweep, as the Padres close in on their third win in a row against the Cards. Everything was running on all cylinders for the Padres on Saturday.

A strong performance by Chris Paddack opened the doors to a blowout win. Along with Paddack closing the door on the St. Louis bats, Manny Machado and Franmil Reyes both went deep to lead the offense with 12 runs. When the Padres spent money on Machado, this is along the lines of what they were expected out of this team. It made for his third multi-homer game with the Padres.

Going back to their series against Baltimore, the Padres can win their fifth straight game on Sunday afternoon. Getting hot just before the All-Star break is a good way to go into the second-half. It hurts in the sense that a break might snap the momentum, but I think the Padres need a strong run regardless. Even though they’re 42-40, San Diego could certainly develop into a dark horse team in the National League.

Catching up to the Dodgers look out of reach, but they have the talent to grab one of the two wildcards. That could be all it takes. As we go into Sunday, the Padres are 12.5 games behind the Dodgers and 1.5 behind the Brewers for the final wildcard. It’s likely going to be a tight race until the end. Joey Lucchesi will be called upon to get the Padres a sweep over the Cardinals on Sunday. Cardinals’ Miles Mikolas will be in the saddle on the other side today. Head below for our free Cardinals vs. Padres pick.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Padres -117/Cardinals -103
  • O/U: 8

Pitching Matchup:

  • Miles Mikolas (5-8, 4.33 ERA)
  • Joey Lucchesi 6-4, 3.95 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

The Padres have a lot of young talent in their rotation who have the potential to do big things. Joey Lucchesi is part of that equation, as he continues to get more experience in his second season at the major league level. Lucchesi was solid enough in his rookie season, posting an ERA of 4.08 in 26 starts a season ago. He’s been slightly better this year, as he goes into Sunday with an ERA of 3.95 and 1.11 WHIP.

The road and San Diego has been two different stories for Lucchesi. There is the bad Lucchesi on the road and then the near elite Lucchesi at home. He’s shown flashes of it in San Diego, anyway. In 53.1 innings, Lucchesi has been strong with a 2.70 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. His ability to limit the home run ball has been particularly impressive, allowing just 5 at home up to this point. Compare that to what’s been going on when he hits the road, where he owns a 6.10 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.

St. Louis have been struggling to get their offense in motion in San Diego, with just 3 runs scored in the first two games. Offensive struggles have been an issue for them often this season. In their last ten games they’ve scored just 2.65 runs per game as opposed to 6.31 for the Padres. They’ve also hit for a .217 batting average during that time.

The Cards are 21st in the majors with an average of 4.49 runs scored per contest, which is not going to get it done in the NL Central. Mikolas hasn’t been able to get it done as a visitor this season, that’s for certain. He enters this afternoon with an ERA of 7.76 and 1.76 WHIP in 31.1 innings. Consider the Padres as an MLB pick on your Sunday card.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.