It’s a loaded slate of action today with highlights including the Dodgers trying to keep their epic pace for immortality with a Keta Maeda vs. Justin Verlander duel in Detroit, Sonny Gray meeting struggling reigning Cy Young winner Rick Porcello in the Yankees/Sox grudge match, and Chase Anderson (sneaky 2.82 ERA) matching with Kyle Freeland as the Brewers and Rockies continue a series with major playoff implications.
Last night R.A. Dickey failed to deliver a quality start for just the second time in nearly two and a half months, as we once again find ourselves on the wrong end of a tough loss. It’s been that kind of a week for me; results going against larger statistical trends, and I haven’t been able to find myself on the right side of a result. No excuses, obviously, but it is definitely high time to snap the skid and move on from a brutal week. Let’s see if we can find a soft spot to land this evening…
Today’s MLB Pick:
St. Louis Cardinals -122 at Pittsburgh Pirates +112 (Total: 9)
Michael Wacha (9-5, 3.85 ERA) vs. Chad Kuhl (5-8, 4.64 ERA)
Just when the Pirates looked like they were resurrecting the season, the bottom fell out once again, and this time, it looks like the final straw. The Buccos have dropped six straight and have a starting pitching disadvantage tonight throwing Kuhl against Michael Wacha.
Wacha enters with a solid 9-5 record and 3.85 ERA, but three of his last five outings have been pretty sub par. He has a 1.67 WHIP in August and a 4.80 ERA. However, over a larger sample size, the Cardinals have won seven of his last ten starts and he has posted a 2.68 ERA. He is 4-2 lifetime against the Pirates with an ERA under four.
Chad Kuhl is coming off a rough start and has never solved the Cardinals in his relatively brief career. He is 0-2 with a 5.50 career ERA in four starts. More importantly, the Pirates are floundering while the Cards and thundering back into legit playoff position. St. Louis’s offense is scorching, and the Cards have won 10 of their last 12 games and after a brief slide in Boston, have gotten back to mashing. They have scored 22 runs in the first two games of the series and will be looking to do more damage tonight.
More than starting pitching, I like the opposing team mojo; Pittsburgh and St. Louis are traveling in opposite directions. I’ll take the hotter team at a fair price.
Today’s MLB Pick: St. Louis Cardinals to WIN -122