Cardinals vs. Pirates MLB Pick – July 24th

The St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates got into a good one last night at PNC Park. It ultimately resulted in a big win for the Cardinals, as they look to stay competitive in the NL Central. The rest of the division is making it easy on the Cardinals, with everyone else generally struggling. There isn’t a clear-cut No. 1 in the NL Central, let’s just put it that way. The Cubs are clinging on to a small lead, but that could evaporate by the end of the week.

Their bullpen has struggled to get outs and doesn’t look like it’s ready for the postseason. Pedro Strop has been a dumpster fire on the bump, with his ERA eclipsing 5.00 in 2019. The Cubs need much better than that. For a guy who is supposed to be the set-up man, Strop is doing a very poor job getting the ball to Craig Kimbrel. The Cubs recently signed Kimbrel to be their closer, but what’s it matter if Strop can’t get the ball to him. In any event, it benefits the Cards because it’s letting them stick around in a close divisional battle.

Who is going to win the NL Central? Good question, because it’s wide-open for the Brewers, Cardinals, and Cubs. The Cardinals got a bit closer with a solid performance by Dakota Hudson and the bullpen. Hudson allowed 3 runs in 6.1 innings and handed the ball off to the bullpen with a 4-3 lead.

Gallegos and Miller took care of the rest, with 4 runs enough to notch a big victory. The loss pushed the Pirates back to 46-54. Their chances of getting to the postseason is quickly fading away. Jordan Lyles will get the nod to try and get the Pirates back on track tonight. They are 2-8 in their last ten games and 1-5 in their previous six games. The Cardinals have taken the first two games of this series, and Adam Wainwright hopes to make it a sweep on Wednesday. Head below for our free Cardinals vs. Pirates pick.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Cardinals -110/Pirates -110
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Adam Wainwright (6-7, 4.50 ERA)
  • Jordan Lyles (5-6, 4.91 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Adam Wainwright has seen just about everything in his fourteen-year career. Pitching in the majors since 2005, Wainwright has seen all-time highs winning championships to personal success. He’s also experienced what it’s like to go through months of rehab and struggling to put it all back together on the mound. Wainwright has regressed heavily the past few years, with ERA’s of 4.62, 5.11, and 4.46.

This after missing time because of injuries. He’s fought injuries throughout his career, including Tommy John surgery back in 2011. An Achilles injury downed him in 2015, and he hasn’t been able to bounce back fully from that. Wainwright has been fine at home this season, but the road has been difficult for him.

He enters Wednesday with an ERA of 4.50, with that number dipping severely to a 7.16 ERA on the road. Wainwright also carries a 1.59 WHIP and .371 OBA as a visitor. Despite allowing 9 hits and 7 runs in 3.1 innings of work, the Cards were 12-11 winners over the Reds in his most recent outing. The Pirates are hitting .268 with a .315 OBP in 153 at-bats. They’ve scored 20 runs with 5 long balls in that time against Wainwright. Pittsburgh are hitting .273 vs right-handed pitching this year.

The Cardinals have had nice success against Jordan Lyles, with a .306 average and .408 OBP in 124 at-bats. Lyles has been getting battered recently with a 13.06 ERA, 2.61 WHIP, and .474 OBA in his last three starts, which spans across 10.1 innings. He allowed a whopping 15 runs and 21 hits. In Pittsburgh, he’s surrendered 18 runs in his last four games at home, so Lyles has been pretty bad at PNC Park as well. There should at least be 10 runs scored to put this matchup OVER the total on Wednesday.

The Bet
OVER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.