Cardinals vs. Pirates MLB Pick – September 23rd

Don’t believe that it’s been an odd year in MLB? Still skeptical that the ball’s seams have been lowered or that SOMETHING Netflix Stranger Things-ian is taking place? Here’s Exhibit A, courtesy of ESPN Stats and Info:

“Scooter Gennett became the first player with four grand slams and a four-home run game in the same season in MLB history. Lou Gehrig is the only other player to accomplish both at any point of his career. His four-home run game happened in 1932 and his four grand slams occurred in 1934.”


Elsewhere, in the more normal constraints of the sports universe, it was an BIG day in the National League. The Cubs beat the Brewers in ten innings for the second consecutive day, all but ending Milwaukee’s dreams of catching up in the Central, and putting a significant dent in the Wildcard hopes. They still have two more chances to salvage the series, but if both, or even one, of those two coin-flip games had gone the other way, the final week of the season would look a lot differently…

Our upset bid fell short last night as the Nats coughed up a 6-1 lead en route to a 7-6 loss to the Mets. Let’s see if we can do a little better tonight.

Today’s MLB Pick:

St. Louis Cardinals -112 at Pittsburgh Pirates +104 (Total: 8)
Lance Lynn vs. Gerrit Cole

Cole was tough in his last outing, but it hard to go against the Cardinals mojo right now. Perhaps more importantly, it is hard to go WITH the Pirates in any circumstance. The Cards have won four straight while the Pirates have dropped eight of nine and seem to be desperate for this disappointing season to be over. They have dropped five of their last seven head to head with St. Louis.

Gerrit Cole hasn’t won a game at PNC Park in close to three months. At PNC Park, he is 0-3 over his past seven starts, and that last win at home was June 13 against Colorado. That’s a looooong time between wins for the 2015 All Star and supposed staff ace, and it a pretty good “in a nutshell” summary of the 2017 season for Pittsburgh. The Pirates have lost four games in a row with Cole on the mound and six of his last seven starts.

Meanwhile, St. Louis has also had some real tough luck with Lynn on the mound. Although I still like the Cards tonight, it is only decent to disclose that St. Louis is 1-6 in Lynn’s last seven starts as well. The difference is that Lynn has only allowed more than three runs once and has delivered four quality starts. Cole has allowed four or more runs in four of seven appearances and has just one quality start in that span.

Both pitchers have good stuff, but Lynn’s got a much better lineup behind him tonight. I’ll take the surging Cardinals to keep the heat on Colorado in the final week of the season by ripping off their fifth straight victory.



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