St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick – July 23

The MLB has another great slate of baseball on July 23. Sixteen games are up on the board throughout Saturday. One of these games will be between the St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds. These two teams are on opposite sides of the division, but will look for a big win. This game will throw the first pitch at around 6:40 PM Eastern time.

St. Louis has earned a record of 50-45 throughout this season, which has them sitting in second place of the NL Central. The Cardinals are one and a half games back on the top seeded Milwaukee Brewers. St. Louis is coming off a loss on Friday and are 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Cardinals will look to step up early on the road in this one.

The Reds have put up a record of 35-57 so far this season, which has them in last place of the NL Central. Cincinnati has struggled this season and are far out of the playoff race. The Reds are coming off a win in their last game and are 7-3 in their last 10 matchups. Cincinnati will look to grab another win on Saturday night.

These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings, but will look to grab a win in this one. The Cardinals have struggled a bit in their last stretch of games, but will look for the win in this one. Cincinnati has picked up their play recently and will look for another win. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
St. Louis Cardinals -1 ½ (+105) -154 Over 10 (-115)
Cincinnati Reds +1 ½ (-125) +129 Under 10 (-105)
Team Data St. Louis Cardinals Cincinnati Reds
Overall Record 50-45 35-57
Away/ Home Record 21-25 19-28
Batting Average .251 .239
Batting Average Away/ Home .247 .252
ERA 3.81 5.30
ERA Away/ Home 4.24 5.29

Betting Trends

St. Louis Cardinals

  • 7-10 in July
  • 12-4 when playing on a Saturday
  • 24-15 against divisional opponents
  • 30-28 in night games
  • 10-9 against left handers
  • 23-20 after a loss
  • 25-16 against team with a losing record

Cincinnati Reds

  • 9-8 in July games
  • 3-13 when playing on Saturday
  • 13-21 against division rivals
  • 21-34 against left handed starters
  • 15-18 after a win
  • 18-39 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up nine times throughout this season. The first three games were in Cincinnati, where the Cardinals were able to win two of the three games. The next five games were in St. Louis. The Cardinals won four of those five matchups. The Reds won the first game of this set. St. Louis has outscored Cincinnati 46-32 this season.

Offense

The Cardinals have been strong hitting the ball on the season. St. Louis has a batting average of .251, which is 7th in the league. The Cardinals have earned a .320 OBP, which is 9th in the MLB. St. Louis has put up an OPS of .723, which is 10th in the league. The Cardinals have hit .264 against left handers this season.

Cincinnati has been solid at the plate throughout the season. The Reds have a .239 batting average, which is 19th in the MLB. Cincinnati has posted an on base percentage of .308, which is 20th in the league. The Reds have earned a .687 OPS, which is 24th in the MLB. Cincinnati has a BA of .247 against lefties. 

St. Louis has been the better team hitting the ball this season and will look to step up in this one. The Reds earned 7 hits and 9 runs in Friday’s win, while the Cardinals had 10 hits and 5 runs. St. Louis will look to hit better with runners on base in this one. If either team can get some runs early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

I expect Steven Matz to get the start at pitcher for the Cardinals in this one. Matz has earned a record of 3-3 throughout his 9 starts on the season. He has posted a 6.03 ERA and a WHIP of 1.39 in those outings. Matz pitched five inning sin his last start against the New York Mets. He gave up three hits and two runs in the no decision.

Mike Minor will likely get the nod on the mound for Cincinnati on Saturday night. Minor has started in 8 games this season, going 1-6 in those matchups. He has put up an ERA of 6.21 and a 1.48 WHIP in his starts. Minor’s last start was against the New York Yankees. He gave up five hits and one run through four innings.

Matz will look for a strong return after missing the last couple of months with injury. Minor will look to bounce back after losing his last three decisions. St. Louis has the edge in the bullpen in this one as well. The Cardinals relievers have a 3.53 ERA, which is 10th in the league. The Reds bullpen has an ERA of 5.38, which is 30th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

The Cardinals will look to bounce back after losing Friday’s tilt against Cincinnati. The Reds have been a bit better as of late, but I think St. Louis will bounce back. Matz will look for a strong start after missing the last stretch of games. If the Cardinals can get their bats going early, it could be enough for the win.

Bovada has St. Louis listed as a -158 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Cardinals will win this game around 61.2 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate, but has little value. St. Louis is also listed at -1 ½ for +105 against the spread. I think the Cardinals can dominate this matchup early to cover the spread.

The Bet
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
+105
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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