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Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick – June 12th

We picked up the win last night when we backed the Chicago Cubs against the Milwaukee Brewers. I expected a low scoring tight game, and that is just what we got. This game hit extra innings tied at two runs apiece and neither team was giving up an inch as first place in the National League Central Division was on the line. The Cubs eventually exploded in the top of the eleventh for a five spot and won the game 7-2.

If all you did was glance at the final score you might think this was a blowout, but this game was tight all afternoon long, and there was a playoff atmosphere in the air. With the win, the Cubs took over sole possession of first place in the NL Central. They are just a half of a game ahead of Milwaukee for first place. For our pick today, we will stay right here in Milwaukee as the Cubs and Brewers match up for game two of this huge three-game set.

The Chicago Cubs are in Milwaukee Tuesday for game two with the Brewers. The Cubs are officially red-hot as they have won twelve of their last fifteen games. This surge has put them over the top in the NL Central, and they will look to keep a hold of first place tonight against the Brewers. The Brewers are struggling at the worst possible time as they have now lost six of their last nine games and have slipped out of first place for the first time in several weeks.

Starting tonight for the home team Brewers is Chase Anderson (4-5 4.57 ERA), and for the Cubs, it is Tyler Chatwood (3-4 3.86 ERA). This game is an even pick ‘em as both teams are -110. The game total over-under is set at nine and a half runs. First pitch is scheduled for 5:10 PM PST from Miller Park in Milwaukee.

The Chicago Cubs are officially on fire. And what makes this winning streak even more impressive for Chicago is the teams they have been able to do it against. This hasn’t been the Cubs beating up on the Reds or Marlins. Chicago has taken series from Pittsburg twice, Philadelphia, the New York Mets, and the San Francisco Giants, all teams with playoff aspirations this season. With a win tonight, the Cubs will secure their sixth straight series win and extend their lead for the best record in the National League.

Starting tonight for Chicago is Tyler Chatwood. Chatwood has been a bit all over the place this year in his twelve starts. He has seen his pitch count swell very early in games and it has limited his ability to get deep into games. In five of his twelve starts, he has failed to make it past five innings of work. Interestingly enough, he hasn’t always pitched terribly in those games, the Cubs just have a very short leash on him as he has only pitched a hundred pitches or more twice this year.

The Brewers will turn to Chase Anderson to try and tie the series up. Anderson has had his ups and downs this season as well. He started out the season on fire as he finished the month of April with a 2.86 ERA and the Brewers won four of his six starts. But it has been all downhill for Anderson since then. He has now lost four out of his last six decisions and has seen his ERA rise up to 4.57. June has been even worse as the Brewers have lost both of his starts and he has given up seven runs in ten innings of work in those two starts. It will be interesting to see what Anderson can do tonight against this surging Cubs offense.

I am basically making the same pick as I did yesterday that won us a bet. The starting pitching matchup is basically a wash. I think Anderson is probably slightly better overall, but he is slumping right now, so if he has any edge at all, it’s a small one. And when you look at this Cubs team, they are steamrolling the competition while the Brewers are struggling badly.

I always thought the Brewers were playing a little above their heads having the best record in the National League for much of May. It’s not that they are a bad team, they are actually quite good, but it would have been shocking to see them finish the season with the best record in the NL. So, this bit of downswing had to be expected. And likewise, with the Cubs, they started out slow, but we always knew this team would rise to the top of their division at some point and now it has happened.

So, I will continue to back the hot team against the struggling team. Last night’s loss had to be a gut punch for the Brewers, and they might have a little bit of that hometown hangover after getting their heart’s broken on their home field. Give me the Chicago Cubs at an even pick ‘em tonight in game two!

The Bet: Chicago Cubs -110

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