Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick – MLB July 29, 2020

    Kyle Hendricks (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Sonny Gray (1-0, 1.50 ERA)

The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds will meet at Great American Ballpark for the third of a four-game series on Wednesday. The Cubs have their eyes on a sweep after winning the first two games. All the Reds can hope for is a split at this point. It’s been a slow start for the Reds, who were regarded as a sleeper and trending pick going into the season.

In a 60-game season it’s within reason that the Reds could get hot and reach the playoffs. And with more teams making the postseason, you don’t have to be perfect. However, the Reds are off to slow beginnings, and they have already been hit by the coronavirus.

Mike Moustakas is on the IL because he’s been feeling ill recently. He woke up feeling sick three days ago and was immediately put into isolation. No word on if his coronavirus test was positive, but it’s a good bet with Matt Davidson testing positive. Moustakas is the biggest player out of their daily lineup right now because of the coronavirus.

The Reds haven’t been hit as hard as the Miami Marlins, who have had to postpone multiple games, but it’s impacted their roster for sure. Hopefully there aren’t any more positive tests that come back for the Reds this week. If so, they might have an outbreak on their hands like the Marlins. Everything is a go for the Reds at this point, though.

Sonny Gray, who has developed into the ace for the Reds, didn’t let the virus get into his head for the 2020 opener. Besides a short stint with the New York Yankees, Gray has enjoyed a nice major league career. The pressure of pitching in the Bronx might have gotten to his head.

However, Gray has been totally different with the Athletics and Reds, where he’s looked considerably more relaxed. Gray gets the starting nod against Kyle Hendricks of the Cubs on Wednesday. Head below for our free Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds pick for July 29, 2020 in MLB.

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Cubs +1.5 (-190)
  • Reds -1.5 (+165)
Moneyline:

  • Cubs (+103)
  • Reds (-113)
Total Points:

  • Over 9.5 (+100)
  • Under 9.5 (-120)

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Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction:

Sonny Gray isn’t the only pitcher in this game that is off to a hot start. Kyle Hendricks, who I regard as one of the more underrated pitchers in the major leagues, proved why he’s better than people give him credit for against the Milwaukee Brewers. Hendricks went all 9 innings against the Brewers, allowing just 3 hits and no runs in his season opener. He didn’t issue a walk, so only three runners were able to reach base against Hendricks.

He ended the game with a terrific WHIP of 0.33. Hendricks has been in the majors since 2014 and hasn’t received much recognition despite finishing with an ERA below 4.00 every year. Hendricks recorded a career-high in 2016, with a 2.13 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 30 starts. He has been unable to match that production, but still very solid, with ERA’s of 3.03, 3.44, and 3.46 in his last three seasons.

Hendricks is off to a very quick start this season, which isn’t overly surprising given his success over the course of six years prior to 2020. He looked strong in spring and summer training as well, with a 2.63 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in 13.2 innings. I’m banking on Hendricks staying hot on Wednesday in Cincinnati. With Gray on the opposite side, Hendricks might have to be at his best. Gray got off to a fast start in his season opener, too. He frustrated the Detroit Tigers with 6 innings of solid pitching.

Gray conceded 1 earned run and 3 hits for a 1.50 ERA and 0.83 WHIP. It’s only the Tigers, but he’s continuing where he left off from last season. Gray notched an ERA of 2.87 and 1.08 WHIP a year after struggling with the Yankees in 2018. He was back in Sonny Gray Oakland form. The Cubs and Reds’ bats have been hot, but I think they quiet down with Hendricks and Gray on the bump. 9.5 runs looks a bit too high on the total.

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UNDER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.