Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Pick – MLB July 8, 2022

The Los Angeles Dodgers held on for a 5-3 win to open a four-game series at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers took a comfortable 4-0 lead in the 4th, but the Cubs made things interesting in the top of the 9th.

CRAIG KIMBREL GETS INTO TROUBLE
Again, Craig Kimbrel couldn’t get out of an inning trouble-free. The Dodgers gave up a run, then put the tying run on 1st base with a runner on 3rd.

Dave Roberts was smart in pulling Kimbrel before he gave the game away. Alex Vesia entered the game to record a strike out to end the contest. That was the only out Vesia needed, but it was a big out.

The Kimbrel trade for AJ Pollock doesn’t look so smart now.

If Kimbrel doesn’t stop getting into trouble, the Dodgers may have to go in another direction for a closer in September and October. They can’t put him on the mound with no command.

The Dodgers got it done, as they maintain a six-game lead over the San Diego Padres in the NL West. They’re going into Friday night’s festivities with a record of 53-29.

The Cubs were coming off a successful trip to Milwaukee before coming up short last night. They had won two assignments at American Family Field, including an 8-3 and 2-1 win for two of three.

Head below for our free Cubs vs. Dodgers prediction on July 8, 2022.

Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Chicago Cubs +1.5 (+100) +185 Over 8.5 (-110)
LA Dodgers -1.5 (-120) -225 Under 8.5 (-110)
Team Data Chicago Cubs LA Dodgers
Overall Record 34-49 53-29
Away/Home Record 17-22 27-13
Batting Average .245 .250
Batting Average Away/Home .236 .244
Runs Per 9 4.38 5.13
Team ERA 4.67 2.91
Team ERA Away/Home 4.92 2.98

Cubs vs. Dodgers Prediction:

Mark Leiter Jr. could have done better last night, but he didn’t get throttled enough that the game got out of reach. Leiter allowed 5 hits and 4 earned runs in 5 innings of work. They’ll likely need better results from Keegan Thompson if they’re going to win in the second meeting.

Thompson hasn’t been bad, with a 3.41 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 18 games.

In his second major league season, that’s some pretty good work from Keegan. He appeared in 32 games last season with an ERA of 3.38 and a 1.48 WHIP in 32 games.

Thompson is consistent with what he accomplished during his rookie campaign. All that said, Thompson hasn’t cared much for going on the road.

WRIGLEY FIELD TAMED
In his work at home, Thompson has been in top form. He’s notched an ERA of 2.33 and a 1.08 WHIP through 47 innings.

However, Thompson hasn’t been feeling it on the road. He is entering Dodger Stadium with an ERA of 5.40 and a 1.52 WHIP away from Wrigley.

Thompson has notched an ERA of 3.86 and a 1.41 WHIP in his last three starts.

Not a bad ERA, but he yielded 15 hits and 3 walks in his last two games across 10.1 frames. He must be careful about putting runners on at the Dodger Stadium.

The Dodgers are second in the majors with 5.05 runs per 9 innings and a .763 OPS. They’ve scored 5.24 runs per 9 at home.

Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends:

Cubs

  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games versus a left-handed starter
  • 7-20 overall in their previous 27 games on a Friday
  • 5-11 overall in their previous 16 games on the road
  • 0-7 overall in their previous seven games versus the Dodgers
  • UNDER is 4-1-1 in their previous six games

Dodgers

  • Record (Last 10): 8-2
  • 8-2 overall in their previous ten games after their opponent concedes 5 or more runs
  • 39-12 overall in their previous 51 second game of a series
  • 46-15 overall in their previous 61 games at home
  • 7-0 overall in their previous seven games versus the Cubs
  • UNDER is 6-1 in their previous seven games after scoring 5 or more runs

  • Tyler Anderson has been a strong lefty for the Dodgers this season. He’s up against a Cubs team that has been bad versus lefties recently, with a batting average of .167 and a .259 OBP in their last five trips to the diamond.

    Anderson is going into Friday night with a 3.09 ERA and 1.06 WHIP.

    He’s lost just one game with a record of 9-1 this season. Dodger Stadium has been a productive office for Anderson.

    Anderson boasts an ERA of 2.74 and a 0.94 WHIP at home. He’s a perfect 6-0 entering this one.

    Craig Kimbrel isn’t helping the Dodgers much, but overall, the bullpen is in good shape. They are sixth with an ERA of 3.31 and a 1.12 WHIP. The Cubs are towards the back of the majors, with a 4.39 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.

    The Dodgers by 3 runs in a 6-3 final looks about right in the second meeting of this series at Dodger Stadium.

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    Cubs vs. Dodgers Pick
    LA DODGERS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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