Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick – MLB April 30, 2022

The Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers meet for the second time in a three-game series at American Family Field. The Brewers are coming off an 11-1 beatdown on Friday night.

Everything was working for the Brewers in that one. Adrian Houser did what Kyle Hendricks didn’t and went 6 innings with 2 hits and no earned runs allowed.

Hendricks was chased off the mound following 7 hits and 6 earned runs conceded in 4.1 innings of play. Hunter Renfroe led the Hendricks bashing, with a 2-for-4 and 3 RBI night.

There aren’t any excuses for the Brewers not to have a strong push with the talent on their roster. They are a team built to go far with a good chance of winning the World Series.

The Brewers have opened up a two-game lead on the St. Louis Cardinals in the NL Central. It wouldn’t be the first time they look able in the regular season and come up short in the postseason, though.

The Cubs are off to a mediocre start with a record of 8-12 and a 5.5-game deficit behind Milwaukee. Going into Saturday night, the Cubs have lost four of their previous five attempts.

They took a game off the Braves on Wednesday, but that’s all for wins recently. It’s lefty against lefty in Milwaukee tonight.

Justin Steele and Eric Lauer are scheduled to get the start at American Family Field tonight.

The Cubs need a much better performance from their pitching staff and offense. It can’t get any worse than Friday. Head below for our free Cubs vs. Brewers prediction on April 30, 2022.

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Chicago Cubs +1.5 (-145) +137 Over 7.5 (-120)
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+125) -163 Under 7.5 (+100)
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Team Data Chicago Cubs Milwaukee Brewers
Overall Record 8-12 14-7
Away/Home Record 4-6 6-3
Batting Average .251 .215
Batting Average Away/Home .249 .218
Runs Per 9 4.84 4.18
Team ERA 4.40 3.16
Team ERA Away/Home 5.19 2.78

Cubs vs. Brewers Prediction:

Justin Steele will have to show improvement tonight as well. Steele is not in the best of form out of the gate. The second-year pitcher enters with an ERA of 5.40 and a 1.73 WHIP in 15 starts.

He appeared in 20 games as a rookie last year and wrapped up his first year in the major leagues with a 4.26 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. It’s something for the rookie to build on in his next campaign.

So far not so good for Steele, who has a 5.40 ERA and 1.73 WHIP going into Milwaukee. After a strong start to open the season against the Brewers, Steele was smacked for an 8.10 ERA and 2.10 WHIP in his next two starts.

In his last outing, Steele allowed 4 hits and 3 earned runs versus the Pirates six days ago. Steele lasted 3 innings before the bullpen settled things down for the Cubs.

Steele was feeling good after shutting down the Brewers at Wrigley Field. The Brewers recorded just 4 hits and no runs across 5 frames.

This time at American Family Field in Milwaukee, it should be a trickier assignment for Steele.

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 2-8
  • 2-5 overall in their previous seven games on the road
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games versus the NL Central
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five second game of a series
  • 15-40 overall in their previous 55 games versus a team with a winning record
  • 22-46 overall in their previous 68 games as an underdog on the road


  • Record (Last 10): 8-2
  • 4-0 overall in their previous four games versus a betting favorite
  • 8-0 overall in their previous eight games versus the NL Central
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games as a favorite at home
  • 21-5 overall in their previous 26 games versus a team with a losing record
  • 4-1 overall in their previous fifth game of a series

Eric Lauer is coming off a stellar performance against the Phillies. The Brewers only needed a run to win, as they rode the hot hand of Lauer.

The lefty allowed 5 hits with just a walk and no runs. He followed up nicely after shutting down the Pirates for 5 hits and 1 earned run in a 6-1 win.

Milwaukee has the fifth-best pitching staff in the majors with regard to limiting hits. They have conceded a .207 batting average and just 0.58 home runs per game for third.

The Cubs are 29th in the majors, with 1.31 home runs allowed per game. The Milwaukee offense is 12th with 1.1 home runs a game offensively.

Lauer has been lights out versus the Cubs, as they’re hitting just .143 with 2 RBIs in 23 at-bats. He’s in tight form right now and is a threat to deliver another strong game at home.

The Brewers have a good chance of winning again to set up a sweep opportunity at home on Sunday.


Cubs vs. Brewers Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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