Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Pick – MLB July 30, 2022

The Chicago Cubs and San Francisco Giants dance at Oracle Park for three more days. The Cubs are coming off an impressive showing behind the strong arm of Marcus Stroman. Stroman needed to work out of jams all night, but he made it work with 8 hits and no earned runs allowed through 6 innings.

Stroman probably didn’t deserve to get out of that one with no earned runs allowed, but fighting out of jams is part of being a quality pitcher. With the win, the Cubs don’t put much of a dent into their record, though. They are 41-58 and 14.5 games behind the Brewers for the lead.

SIGNS OF LIFE
The Cubs are playing some of their best baseball at the moment. They’ve won seven of their last outings and playing with confidence. After dropping a 4-2 final to the Giants in the series opener, they responded nicely.

Conversely, the Giants are slipping and sliding downward in the wildcard race. They’re not catching the Dodgers to defend their NL West title. However, the Giants were looking at reaching the postseason as a wildcard.

They are going into tonight at 49-51 and aren’t playing like a team interested in playing October baseball. That said, the Giants have to keep things in perspective.

While they’ve been on a major slide, the Giants are within striking distance of the final wildcard in the National League. They are four games behind the Cardinals and Phillies for the last slot.

There is still two months left in the regular season, so four games isn’t much with a lot of baseball to play. However, the Giants aren’t acting like a team that wants it enough. Jakob Junis gets the starting nod for the Giants against Drew Smyly of the Cubs

Head below for our free Cubs vs. Giants prediction on July 30, 2022.

Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Chicago Cubs +1.5 (-175) +108 Over 8 (-115)
San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+150) -130 Under 8 (-105)
Team Data Chicago Cubs San Francisco Giants
Overall Record 41-58 49-51
Away/Home Record 21-26 27-23
Batting Average .242 .232
Batting Average Away/Home .233 .239
Runs Per 9 4.37 4.76
Team ERA 4.28 4.70
Team ERA Away/Home 4.19 4.95

Cubs vs. Giants Prediction:

The Cubs will look for another strong performance on the hill tonight. Drew Smyly is responsible for the starting duties at Oracle Park in this one.

Smyly is going into tonight with an ERA of 3.93 and a 1.27 WHIP. At this point in Smyly’s career, that’s a big win for him. After an 8.42 ERA in 2018 with the Rangers, it was hard to see him pitching effectively three years later.

In his last three starts, Smyly is in fine form with an ERA of 4.38 and a 1.30 WHIP.

There isn’t anything wrong with what Smyly is accomplishing in 2022. It isn’t anything flashy or special, but he’s pitching well enough to have a job in a major league rotation.

RELATIVELY NEW OPPONENT
He’s spent most of his career in the American League, so Smyly hasn’t seen much of this lineup. In 14 at-bats, the Giants are hitting .306 and a .379 OBP vs Smyly.

This looks like a decent spot for the Giants to wake up at the dish and get the offense going in the right direction, but it’s likely going to come down to Jakob Junis on the mound.

Junis carries an ERA of 2.98 and a 1.01 WHIP into Saturday night.

He’s been consistently solid for the Giants and is reaching his full potential in the Bay Area. Junis never lived up to expectations with the Royals, but a change of scenery has helped him out well.

Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Betting Trends:

Cubs

  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 7-1 overall in their previous eight games
  • 2-8 overall in their previous ten games versus a team with a losing record
  • 8-23 overall in their previous 31 games versus the NL West
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games versus the Giants
  • 4-10 overall in their previous 14 games at San Francisco

Giants

  • Record (Last 10): 2-8
  • 10-1 overall in their previous 11 games versus a left-handed starter
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus the NL Central
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games at home
  • 5-2 overall in their previous seven games on a Saturday
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus the Cubs

  • The Giants have been better against lefties this season, with a .240 batting average rather than .229 vs right-handed pitching. In their last five games, they’ve hit .271 against left-handed pitching.

    The Giants have won 10 of their previous 11 games vs a left-handed starter.

    At Oracle Park, the offense has typically come to play. The Giants are scoring 4.95 runs per 9 innings at home in 2022. They haven’t been in their best form as of late, but Smyly shouldn’t offer the stiffest test.

    Marcus Stroman was fortunate to escape from jams last night. The Giants couldn’t finish with runners on base. Look for the Giants to find just enough offense to support Junis in a winning performance at home tonight.

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    Cubs vs. Giants Pick
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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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