Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB Pick – July 30th

The MLB is set up with a solid night of action on Tuesday night. Fifteen games are up on the board for July 30, including a great matchup between the Chicago Cubs and the St. Louis Cardinals. These two teams are battling it out for the top spot in the NL Central right now, which should help lead to an intense matchup on Tuesday night. This game will start at around 8:15 PM Eastern time.

The Cubs have put up a record of 56-49 to this point in the season which has them in a tie with the Cardinals for the top spot in the NL Central. Chicago was able to win their last game but has dropped five of their last seven games. The Cubs need to get a winning streak going if they want to take their lead back in the NL Central.

St. Louis has also gone 56-49 so far this season. The Cardinals are neck and neck with Chicago in the NL Central and the Milwaukee Brewers are only a single game behind both teams in the division. St. Louis has lost their last two games, but have gone 12-5 since the All-Star break in early July. The Cardinals will look to earn the top spot in their division with a win to open up this series against Chicago.

These two teams have been doing well this season and it has them tied for the top spot in the division, with the Brewers right behind them as well, winning this series would be huge. As we close in on the last two months of the season, these divisional games become more important. I expect an exciting game between these two teams on Tuesday night.

Previous Matchups

The first three-game series of the season between these two teams was between May 3-5 in Chicago. The Cubs rode a three-run homer by Anthony Rizzo to a win to start out the series. Kyle Hendricks pitched a nine-inning shutout as Chicago won 4-0. Javier Baez hit the game-winning home run in the bottom of the ninth to give the Cubs a 6-5 win in the second game. Chicago had the hits piling up in the final game as they won 13-5.

The second series was on May 31 through June 2 in St. Louis. Matt Carpenter hit a walk-off single in the bottom of the tenth to give the Cardinals a 2-1 win to open up this series. Marcell Ozuna put up three RBI’s in the second game to help lead St. Louis to a 7-4 win. Carpenter had another late RBI single in the final matchup to help the Cardinals sweep their home series with another 2-1 win.

The most recent series was hosted by Chicago on June 7-9. Javier Baez had a two-run home run in the first matchup to help Chicago win. Cole Hamels pitched eight innings, allowing only three hits and no runs as the Cubs won 3-1. Chicago rode a four-run sixth inning in the second game to an impressive 9-4 win. Kyle Hendricks pitched seven innings, allowing eight hits and only one run as the Cubs won 5-1 in the final game of this series.

The Cubs hold a 6-3 record against St. Louis throughout this season so far. In all nine matchups between these two teams, the home team has won every game. The Cardinals are at home this series and will look for another sweep to take the lead for the division. I believe that Chicago could be the first team to pull off a road win sometime in this series though.

Batting

The Cubs have seen a great season from Javier Baez, who has 120 hits, 25 home runs and 68 RBI’s. Kris Bryant has had a good season with 110 hits, 21 home runs, 51 RBI’s and an OPS of .947. Anthony Rizzo has put up 105 hits, 21 homers and 71 RBI’s on the season. Kyle Schwarber has earned 24 home runs, while Willson Contreras has 19 homers. Jason Heyward, Albert Almora, and David Bote all have double-digit home runs as well.

Paul Goldschmidt has been the best hitter for St. Louis so far this season. He has 100 hits, 24 home runs and 57 RBI’s. Paul DeJong has 98 hits, 18 home runs and 50 RBI’s on the season. Kolten Wong has put up 85 hits as well. Dexter Fowler and Jose Martinez have both put up double-digit home runs and 30+ RBI’s this season as well.

Chicago has a better overall hitting team, especially with the Cardinals missing some key players in their lineup. St. Louis is without Marcell Ozuna, Yadier Molina, and Matt Carpenter in their batting order right now as all three players are out with injuries. The Cubs could use this to their advantage if they can get the better of the Cardinals pitcher on Tuesday night.

Pitchers

Yu Darvish will start on the mound for the Cubs on Tuesday night. Darvish has put up a 3-4 record through 21 starts this season. He has an ERA of 4.54, a WHIP of 1.235 while striking out 10.3 hitters per nine innings. Darvish’s last start came against the San Francisco Giants, where he allowed six hits and four runs through six innings.

St. Louis will have Adam Wainwright start for Tuesday’s tilt with Chicago. Wainwright has a 7-7 record through his 19 starts this season. In those starts, he has an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.398. Wainwright’s last start came against the Pittsburgh Pirates where he allowed five hits and four runs in five innings pitched.

Darvish has pitched ten innings against the Cardinals this season, allowing nine hits and six runs. Wainwright has pitched seventeen and a third inning against Chicago this season. He has allowed fourteen hits and nine runs. Both pitchers are coming off less than impressive performances in their last start and will look to bounce back in this game.

Pick Overview

The Cubs hold a 6-3 record against St. Louis this season and I believe that the Cardinals will close that gap with a win on Tuesday night. St. Louis has lost their last two games, but with a break on Monday night, I believe that it gave them a good chance to regroup and get set up for Tuesday. If Wainwright comes out strong for the Cardinals, I believe that St. Louis can win this game.

BetOnline has the Chicago listed as a -115 against the money line for this game. This gives a slight edge to the Cubs but keeps it mostly even. I believe that as underdogs at home in this game, the Cardinals have a lot of value. I like Wainwright to continue to put up strong numbers against the Cubs, leading to a St. Louis win.

My Pick
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.