Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Pick – MLB July 27, 2020

    Dylan Cease (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Aaron Civale (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

The Cleveland Indians won the rubber-match in convincing fashion over the Kansas City Royals on Sunday afternoon at Progressive Field. They blew the doors open early, as Cleveland pounded the Royals for a 9-2 win. By the end of the 4th inning, the game was out of reach with the Indians holding a 7-1 lead. Cancer survivor, Carlos Carrasco, was in good form for the Indians. He conceded 5 hits and 2 earned runs across 6 innings of work. Carrasco struck out 10 batters to get into the double digits in his first start of 2020.

Cleveland are largely being ignored by the public after getting unseated by the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central last season. The Twins had a breakout season with a record of 101-61. Cleveland were unable to keep up, though it was still a respectable season at 93-69. They just didn’t have the extra firepower that the Twins had in their arsenal and it showed. There wasn’t anything wrong with the Indians’ pitching. The starting rotation for Indians was deep even in the absence of Carrasco. Even the Chicago White Sox were getting more potential as a possible breakout team going into this season.

If you were to listen to the media, the only discussions I’ve heard regarding the Indians this season has been regarding their name. They are going on as the Indians in 2020, but don’t be surprised to see Cleveland with a new name for their team next season. I’d rather focus on their on-field product and try to locate some winners. After one weekend of the regular season, they’re in a three-way tie with the Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins. I would normally say that this early in the season not to look at records, but in a 60-game season, every game is important.

The only plus of Carrasco sitting out most of last season was having the ability to develop Aaron Civale. Civale was flawless as a rookie and hopes to build on that promising campaign. He was better than expected and could build on what he accomplished last season. I want to see more of a sample size than ten games out of Civale, but early indications are good. His spring training work this season has been solid as well. The White Sox are expected to counter with Dylan Cease. Head below for our free Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians pick for July 27, 2020 in MLB.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians MLB Baseball Betting Odds:


  • White Sox +1.5 (-155)
  • Indians -1.5 (+135)

  • White Sox (+120)
  • Indians (-130)
Total Points:

  • Over 9.5 (-125)
  • Under 9.5 (+105)


Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Prediction:

Aaron Civale will have to wait for a full season of action. He would have easily been a full-time member of the Indians beginning in March if it wasn’t for the pandemic. Civale was mightily impressive in a limited role last year. He did everything asked of him in ten games. Across 57.2 innings of work in 2019, Civale posted an ERA of 2.34 and 1.04 WHIP.

In only one of ten games did Civale concede more than 2 earned runs in a start. That happened to be against the White Sox on the road. However, in his lone outing against the White Sox at home, Civale was on point with 1 earned run allowed for a 1.94 ERA.

The White Sox weren’t the only team that Civale dominated at home. He was efficient throughout the season with an ERA of 1.09 and 0.97 WHIP at Progressive Field. His sample size included only ten games in 2019, though he didn’t look out of place as a rookie on the hill. Also note that Civale has been in good form in exhibition matches this year.

Civale owns a 2.70 ERA and 0.70 WHIP in three games in spring/summer training ball. Batters managed to hit just .143 against Civale across 10 innings. I would say that he’s ready for another productive year for the Indians. The shortened season might be to his benefit after appearing in ten games in 2019. He isn’t going to get potentially overworked in over 30 starts.

Dylan Cease was a rookie last season as well. His first taste of the major leagues didn’t go as planned, though. Cease appeared in 14 games, and he exited the season with an ERA of 5.79 and 1.55 WHIP. The Indians destroyed Cease, with a .415 batting average and .440 OBP.

He was serviceable in spring training games, though nothing impressive with a 4.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. I got on Civale often last season before anyone knew who he was. While everyone is sleeping on Civale again in 2020, I’ll gladly back him at home against Cease and the White Sox.


The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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