Cincinnati Reds vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick – August 18, 2020

    Luis Castillo (0-2, 3.91 ERA) vs. Brad Keller (2-0, 0.00 ERA)

The Cincinnati Reds are expected to be back in action on Tuesday after sitting some games out because of positive coronavirus tests. The last game for the Reds was a 8-1 win on August 14 against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Fortunately, the Reds didn’t have to miss too long like the St. Louis Cardinals.

The Reds head into Tuesday with a record of 9-11 and 4.5 games behind the Cubs for the lead in the NL Central. They won’t have to make too many games up, barring any additional positive tests, or they get bad luck with rainouts. The Cardinals are being forced to play a plethora of double headers because of all the time they missed.

Remember that double-header days will include just 7 innings. It would be easy for somebody that isn’t aware to see a low total and lock in the OVER. There is certainly a reason for a lower total in a game with only 7 innings. The Reds will have some double headers to play in their future.

The Kansas City Royals are coming off a 4-1 loss against the Minnesota Twins on Monday. Hunter Dozier went deep for the only run scored by the Royals yesterday. The Royals slipped to 9-14 on the season with the loss. That’s pretty consistent with where I saw the Royals going this season. Not good but not bad enough to embarrass themselves. They were losers in three out of four games against the Twins.

The Royals get to go home to host the Reds after six games on the road. It was an unproductive road trip with only two wins to speak of. There have been some gems in the rough for the Royals this season. Brad Keller has been terrific for the Royals and we’ll get a look at him on Tuesday. Keller gets the nod for the Royals, while Luis Castillo is expected to counter for the Reds in their first game back. Head below for our free Cincinnati Reds vs. Kansas City Royals pick for August 18, 2020.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Reds -1.5 (-105)
  • Royals +1.5 (-115)
Moneyline:

  • Reds (-165)
  • Royals (+145)
Total Points:

  • Over 8.5 (-120)
  • Under 8.5 (+100)

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Cincinnati Reds vs. KC Royals Prediction:

Brad Keller has been a gem for the Royals so far this season. He’s been hitting his mark and hasn’t allowed a run this season. The 25-year-old has been flawless through 11 innings of work in 2020. He has an ERA of 0.00 and 0.91 WHIP against the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds. The Reds were held to just 2 hits last week against Keller. Between the Cubs and Reds’ offenses, which aren’t too shabby, they connected for a .139 batting average.

In his third season in the majors, the Royals are expecting a breakout campaign for Keller, and he’s certainly been doing his part. In their first game back since the coronavirus halted play for the Reds, they might be a bit sluggish and lazy at the plate. It doesn’t help that they will meet Keller on the bump on Tuesday. He likely allows a run to break up his inning streak without allowing a run, but Keller likely boasts another impressive performance today.

In 72 at-bats, the Reds are hitting just .169 with 1 home run against Keller. The last game wasn’t the only outing that Keller was able to frustrate the Reds, and this is the best form we’ve seen him in. If he keeps it up, pressure will put on Luis Castillo to spin a nice game. Castillo broke out last season, as he posted an ERA of 3.40 and 1.14 WHIP in his second full season as a major leaguer. He got some much deserved recognition with a trip to the All-Star Game.

Castillo had a shaky performance against the Tigers, as he gave up 5 earned runs through 6 innings on July 31. However, Castillo was in good form against the Royals in his most recent outing. The Royals scored 1 earned run on Castillo across 6 innings of work. If Castillo and Keller pitch how they’re capable of on Tuesday evening, then we should get a low-scoring contest between the Reds and Royals in this matchup.

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UNDER 8.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.