Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Pick – MLB April 27, 2021

The Los Angeles Dodgers welcome the Cincinnati Reds back to Dodger Stadium on Tuesday night following a 5-3 loss last night. Tyler Mahle put together a productive outing as he held the Dodgers to just 1 earned run across 5 innings of work. Julio Urias was fine with 3 earned runs against through 5 innings, but he’s certainly capable and expected to be better than that. The Dodgers started off this season red-hot. They couldn’t miss and lost just two games through their first 15 games of the season.

A loss against the San Diego Padres on April 18 in a potential sweep spot has set the Dodgers back a notch. The Dodgers have gone from 13-2 to 15-8 going into Tuesday evening. That’s quite the change of gears for the Dodgers, but it’s important to keep in mind that this is baseball and there will be a lot of ups and downs. Dodgers’ fans have to be panicking a bit, or at least the ones who don’t see the whole picture, which is most sports fans. However, they’re still in a good spot in a tie with the San Francisco Giants for the lead in the NL West.

The Padres are going to get hot this season, as are the Dodgers. There will also be waves of cold baseball. The unknown in the division is going to be the Giants. This team has made a lot out of nothing in past years, going all the way to win the World Series with rosters that most wouldn’t call the most flashy or expensive. While the Padres and Dodgers have all of the pazzazz in their lineups, the Giants can’t be ignored in the NL West.

With the loss against the Reds yesterday, the Dodgers have lost four of their last five games. They held on for a 5-4 win against the Padres on Saturday, but have otherwise been coming up empty. The Dodgers will hand the ball to Walker Buehler on the hill to get out of this jam that the Dodgers have been in. Cincinnati expects to counter with Jeff Hoffman on the bump. Hoffman has been in good form after struggling over his first five seasons in the major leagues. Head below for our free Reds vs. Dodgers pick on April 27, 2021.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Reds +1.5 (-107)
  • Dodgers -1.5 (-113)
Moneyline:

  • Reds +212
  • Dodgers -235
Total:

  • Over 7.5 (-110)
  • Under 7.5 (-110)

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Reds vs. Dodgers Prediction:

It will be up to Walker Buehler to spin a solid game to help get the Dodgers out of this small hole. Buehler has been in top shape with an ERA of 2.16 and 0.88 WHIP. He hasn’t allowed more than 2 earned runs in any of his four starts this season. Buehler tamed a dangerous Padres’ offense on April 22 with a solid display of pitching. The Padres recorded 4 hits and 2 earned runs through 7 innings of work.

What has been most impressive with Buehler this season has been his ability to hit his spots. His command has been terrific on the bump. Through his 25 innings of work, Buehler has conceded only one walk, which came against the Padres. Three of his assignments have been tricky, with his opener against the Rockies in Colorado at Coors Field, and then back-to-back starts against the Padres isn’t easy.

However, Buehler has been strong and difficult to hit. He has been terrific against the Reds in his career. Note that the Reds are hitting just .106 with 1 RBI in 41 at-bats. It doesn’t get much better than that. Buehler was excellent at home last season as well. He notched a 1.31 ERA and 0.68 WHIP as opposed to a 6.19 ERA and 1.31 WHIP on the road. Opponents were hitting a measly .114 against Buehler at Dodger Stadium in 2020. He should find a groove and give the Dodgers a good chance of winning this one.

It’s likely going to be up to the Dodgers’ offense, which has been cold recently. Jeff Hoffman has been in the best form of his career recently. Gone from Colorado, Hoffman has looked good in a fresh start in Cincinnati. He didn’t do better than a 4.88 ERA in 2016, his rookie season in the majors with the Rockies. Hoffman notched a 9.35, 6.56, and 9.28 ERA the last three years.

However, he’s been much improved with a 2.66 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. That said, it’s only four starts, and he has more of a history of being bad than good. The Dodgers are hitting .329 with a .344 OBP with 2 home runs and 9 RBI against Hoffman in 38 at-bats. I’m confident in the Dodgers finally getting their stuff together on Tuesday night. I would be surprised if Hoffman doesn’t hit a speedbump in this one after a promising start in 2021.

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Our Bet
LA DODGERS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.