Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick – August 24, 2020

    Trevor Bauer (3-0, 0.68 ERA) vs. Brett Anderson (1-2, 3.71 ERA)

The Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers will get a three-game series underway at Miller Park on Monday in Milwaukee. The Reds are coming off a poor series versus the St. Louis Cardinals on the road at Busch Stadium. They lost three times in four games, including a 6-2 loss yesterday on Sunday afternoon.

The Reds scored two quick runs in the top of the 1st, and then fell asleep at the wheel. That was the only runs that the Reds would go on to score against Daniel Poncedeleon and the bullpen. After getting rattled early on, Poncedeleon settled in and gave up just 3 hits and 2 earned runs through 4.2 innings.

It’s been a disappointing year for the Reds to put it mildly. I don’t believe anyone thought the Reds were going to be competing with the Dodgers or anything in the National League, but there were some expectations there for the Reds. With an expanded playoffs, the idea was to at least find a way into the postseason and see what happens.

The Reds didn’t trade for Nick Castellanos, and signed Mike Moustakas to a four-year deal if they didn’t believe that they weren’t going to be a competitive team. They were going for it in 2020. And don’t get me wrong, there is still time left to do something and squeak into the postseason. The Reds go into Monday with a record of 11-15. Things can change in a hurry.

What the Reds don’t want to change is Trevor Bauer. Bauer has been lights out for the Reds and has his eyes set on a Cy Young. He and Sonny Gray have combined to be a formidable 1-2 punch. If it weren’t for them, we wouldn’t be able to talk about any kind of squeaking into the postseason right now. Bauer gets the nod on the road, while former Athletic, Brett Anderson, is expected for the Brewers. Head below for our free Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers pick for August 24, 2020.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Reds -1.5 (+120)
  • Brewers +1.5 (-140)
Moneyline:

  • Reds (-131)
  • Brewers (+121)
Total:

  • Over 8.5 (-105)
  • Under 8.5 (-115)

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction:

Trevor Bauer and Sonny Gray keep trying to outdo one another, at least that’s how it feels. That’s great for the Reds who have two fine hurlers in their stable. Bauer has been the better of the two, as he enters Miller Park with an ERA of 0.68 and 0.57 WHIP. If that isn’t impressive enough, Bauer is the fourth pitcher since 1990 to notch at least 40 strikeouts with less than 4 hits allowed in four games.

It’s pretty obvious where the Cy Young would be going if that award was being awarded today. On the road Bauer has been even better. Across 20 innings of work, Bauer owns an ERA of 0.45 and 0.60 WHIP. The Brewers have been below average offensively, with an average of 4 runs per game for 26th in the major leagues. At home they’ve recorded 3.62 runs per game, while scoring 4.17 per game on the road. Bauer should be able to put forth another successful game on Monday in Milwaukee.

Brett Anderson will try to keep up, and he might do a better than expected job of it. Anderson may not be the flashiest pitcher, but he goes about his business in a consistent fashion. He has posted an ERA of 3.71 and 1.35 WHIP through 17 innings of work. Anderson hasn’t allowed more than 2 earned runs in any of his four starts in 2020. He’s coming off one of his best starts of the season, as Anderson handcuffed the Minnesota Twins for 1 run in 6 innings of play. Anderson yielded 2 earned runs against the Reds in his first meeting against them this year.

The Reds have struggled offensively with only 4.08 runs per game. They’ve been particularly dreadful on the road. Cincinnati is the worst team in the majors on the road offensively, with a dismal mark of just 2.86 runs notched per contest. Anderson likely won’t be perfect in this game, and he might need to get out of a jam at some point, but he should be effective enough to put the Brewers in a position to pull off a mini upset over Bauer. The UNDER looks like the correct side at Miller Park on Monday.

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The Bet
UNDER 8.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.