Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick – MLB August 5, 2022

The Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers open a three-game series at American Family Field in Wisconsin on Friday night. Milwaukee has to treat August and September as an extension of the postseason. They are in a duel with the St. Louis Cardinals for leading claims in the NL Central.

The Brewers and Cardinals are currently in a tie for the top spot in the division at 57-48. It was expected to be tight months ago at this point in the season. And here we are in early August, with these two owning the same record.

There isn’t another threat in the NL Central. This division is all Brewers and Cards, as they’re ahead of the Pirates by 14 games.

The Cardinals have a tough series this weekend against the New York Yankees. They’re coming off a sweep of the Cubs yesterday, while the Brewers are reeling following four straight losses.

After failing to complete a sweep vs the Red Sox, the Brewers lost three in a row to the Pirates.

Milwaukee is coming off a gut-wrenching loss on Thursday at PNC Park. They couldn’t get it done in extra innings, as the Brewers fell down by a score of 5-4. The Brewers scored a run in the top of the 10th, with the Bucs responding to win.

The Brewers were walked off a day earlier, 8-7, so it’s been a tough couple of days in Pittsburgh. The good news for the Brewers is that they’re in a tie for the NL Central.

The Reds have been good in spots, but too inconsistent in 2022. They carry a record of 42-62 and 14.5 games back in the NL Central. Cincinnati is coming off a 3-0 loss to the Marlins on Wednesday. This ended a nice four-game winning streak for the Reds.

Head below for our free Reds vs. Brewers prediction on August 5, 2022.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-115) +175 Over 9 (-110)
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-105) -215 Under 9 (-110)
Team Data Cicninnati Reds Milwaukee Brewers
Overall Record 42-62 57-48
Away/Home Record 18-30 26-20
Batting Average .240 .241
Batting Average Away/Home .221 .239
Runs Per 9 4.39 4.71
Team ERA 5.02 3.89
Team ERA Away/Home 5.08 3.75

Reds vs. Brewers Prediction:

The Reds have been fine in stretches this season. As we just witnessed, the Reds win four straight games. However, before that run against the Orioles and Marlins, they lost three of four attempts.

That’s the life of a mediocre team in the majors, but they weren’t going on as many runs last year.

They are showing improvement and could be competitive in two or three years. Robert Dugger hopes to be involved in those plans after a trade from the Rays to the Reds.

Dugger only had one appearance with the Rays this season. He came out of the bullpen to allow 8 hits and 3 earned runs in 5.1 innings.

This is the fourth team that Dugger is on since entering the majors in 2019 with the Marlins. Through 26 games in his career, Dugger has an ERA of 6.97 and a 1.67 WHIP.

Teams are giving up on Dugger and this is an audition period with the Reds.

In two performances with the Reds, Dugger has notched an ERA of 4.05 and a 1.50 WHIP in 6.2 innings. An ERA of 4.05 is fine, but a 1.50 WHIP doesn’t suggest that Dugger is ready to be a reliable starter.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 4-9 overall in their previous 13 games versus the NL Central
  • 3-12 overall in their previous 15 games versus the Brewers
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games at Milwaukee
  • 21-45 overall in their previous 66 games versus a team with a winning record
  • UNDER is 4-0 in their previous four games


  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games at home
  • 20-8 overall in their previous 28 first game of a series
  • 4-0 overall in their previous four games at home following a road trip of at least seven games
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games on a Friday
  • 12-3 overall in their previous 15 games versus the Reds

  • The Brewers are back home where they should feel more comfortable. This is especially true for lefty Eric Lauer. He must prefer pitching at American Family Field.

    Lauer has an ERA of 4.47 and a 1.30 WHIP on the road vs a 2.85 ERA and 1.10 WHIP at home.

    Overall, Lauer owns a 3.75 ERA and 1.21 WHIP across 19 starts. He’s been sharp with 2 or fewer runs in four of his previous five attempts. In his latest performance, Lauer conceded 4 hits and 1 earned run in 5 innings against the Boston Red Sox in a 9-4 win.

    The Reds are hitting .225 with 1 home run across 74 at-bats. Lauer should be in good command on Friday night.

    Despite the recent struggles for the Brewers, they are throttling righties at a .296 clip in their last five games. I’m not convinced Dugger can handle this lineup. Back home after a lengthy road trip, look for the Brewers to get off to a fast start. Expect the Brewers to clear the Reds by at least 2 runs.


    Reds vs. Brewers Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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