The New York Yankees welcome the Cincinnati Reds back to Yankee Stadium for the third and final game of this series in the Bronx. The Yankees didn’t give their best effort to open, as they dropped a 4-3 final on Tuesday night.
A Wild Walk-Off W. pic.twitter.com/9MkyGnhJBg
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) July 14, 2022
The offense didn’t swing well with Graham Ashcraft on the hill for the series opener. Ashcraft was in decent shape, with 7 hits and 3 earned runs allowed in 5 innings of work. Mike Minor looked like his vintage form last night, but it wasn’t enough.
The Yankees were able to take advantage of miscues from the Reds in the field to win in extras, 7-6. The Yankees probably didn’t deserve to win. They didn’t play well a day after coming off a loss to the Reds.
The Cubs are slipping and could be last before long, though. They lost another last night to the Baltimore Orioles and are just a game ahead of the Reds.
Despite a sloppy couple of games, the Yankees are clear in the AL East with a record of 62-26. They have a quality 14-game lead on the Rays entering this evening.
The Reds will give this game a good go with Luis Castillo on the bump. Castillo was vanilla last year, but he’s running well going into Yankee Stadium. Nestor Cortes Jr. counters for the Yankees.
Head below for our free Reds vs. Yankees prediction on July 14, 2022.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees Live Betting Odds:
|Cincinnat Reds||+1.5 (-115)||+165||Over 8 (-110)|
|New York Yankees||-1.5 (-105)||-200||Under 8 (-110)|
|Team Data||Cincinnati Reds||New York Yankees|
|Batting Average Away/Home||.223||.232|
|Runs Per 9||4.33||5.33|
|Team ERA Away/Home||5.26||2.66|
Reds vs. Yankees Prediction:
Luis Castillo has been a strong option for the Reds this season. He didn’t match his career numbers last year. Castillo finished with an ERA of 3.98 and a 1.36 WHIP.
Castillo is well on track this season, though. The sixth-year starter has an ERA of 2.92 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. He is coming off a dominant stretch, with an ERA of 0.90 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in his previous three attempts.
Is it going to translate at Yankee Stadium, though? The Yankees haven’t been an easy out for Castillo previously. The Yankees are hitting .299 with a .362 OBP versus Castillo in 63 at-bats.
They’re also the best pitching staff, with 3.19 runs allowed per 9 innings. This includes a bullpen ERA of 2.85 and a 1.13 WHIP for second.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees Betting Trends:
- Record (Last 10): 7-3
- 2-7 overall in their previous nine games versus the Yankees
- 1-6 overall in their previous seven games at Yankee Stadium
- 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus the AL East
- 5-1 overall in their previous six games
- UNDER is 5-2 in their previous seven games
- Record (Last 10): 5-5
- 17-3 overall in their previous 20 games at home
- 6-1 overal in their previous seven games versus the Reds at home
- 7-2 overall in their previous nine games versus the Reds
- OVER is 6-1 in their previous seven games
- OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games as a betting favorite
The Reds don’t have a bullpen to back up Castillo. I anticipate the Yankees have a better game at the plate tonight and it is likely against the bullpen.
The closest team to the Reds is the Rockies with a 4.74 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. The Yankees should be in good shape if lefty Nestor Cortes Jr. pitches well.
Cortes Jr. has recorded an ERA of 2.01 and a 0.92 WHIP in 41 innings at home. He should look good against a Reds team hitting .223 with 3.35 runs per 9 innings on the road this season. Castillo poses a decent roadblock for the Yankees, but they should edge away.
The Yankees look like the right call on the runlike at plus money.