Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB Pick – August 30th

The MLB picks up on Thursday with plenty of action. Fifteen games are up on the board for August 30 as the season gets closer and closer to the end. One of the matchups up on the board for Thursday night will be between the Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals. These two division rivals will look to earn a big win on Thursday night.

The Reds have put up a record of 63-70 to this point in the season, which has them sitting in fourth place of the NL Central. Cincinnati has won three of their last four games, but still, have a long way to climb if they want to make a sneaky postseason appearance. The Reds will look to at least put a dent in their rivals’ record with a road win on Friday night.

St. Louis has earned a record of 73-59 to this point in the season, which has them sitting in the first place of the NL Central. The Cardinals are only slightly above the Chicago Cubs for the first-place seed in their division. St. Louis has won fifteen of their last nineteen games and will look to put up another win in front of their fans to keep their top place spot.

The Cardinals have been the better team this season, but a late season rivalry series like this one should be exciting. St. Louis could really use a win in this series as they try to extend their lead on the second-place Chicago Cubs. I expect a strong start to this series on Friday night.

Previous Matchups

The first series of the season between the Reds and the Cardinals was a short two-game series. Jesse Winker and Derek Dietrich both hit home runs to give Cincinnati the lead as the Reds won 5-2. Marcell Ozuna had two homers and four RBI’s in the second game to help St. Louis bounce back with a 9-5 win.

The next two series were in Cincinnati. The Reds took the first game by a dominant 12-1 win, but St. Louis bounced back with 6-3 and 5-2 wins in the second series of the season. Cincinnati won 4-1 in the first game of the second series. Paul DeJong hit a two-run home run in the bottom of the seventh of the second game help give the Cardinals a 3-1 win in the second matchup.

The fourth series of the season between these two teams was in Cincinnati between July 18-21. Tommy Edman hit a grand slam in the top of the sixth to give the Cardinals a 7-4 win in the first game. St. Louis then earned ten runs in the top of the sixth to win the second game 12-11. Josh VanMeter hit a two-run homer to give the Reds a 3-2 win in the third matchup. St. Louis’ pitching staff combined to allow seven hits and one run in the final game to give the Cardinals a 3-1 win.

The most recent series was between August 15-18 in Cincinnati again. Sonny Gray had a strong start allowing one hit and striking out ten as the Reds took the first game 2-1. Dexter Fowler had four RBI’s in the second game to help lead St. Louis to a 13-4 win. Anthony DeSclafani pitched five innings and allowed one run on five hits to help the Reds bounce back with a 6-1 win. Paul Goldschmidt had a two-run homer in the final game of this series as the Cardinals won 5-4.

St. Louis has been the better team this season and it has shown throughout this series. The Cardinals hold a 9-6 advantage throughout this season against the Reds. This four game series will be the conclusion between these two teams this season, which should lead to a strong series over the next few days.

Batting

The Reds have had a few solid hitters in their lineup throughout this season. Eugenio Suarez has earned 126 hits, 38 homers and 83 RBI’s this season. Jose Iglesias has put up 125 hits and 49 RBI’s. Joey Votto has 113 hits, 12 home runs and 39 RBI’s. Derek Dietrich has earned 19 home runs, while Nick Senzel has put up 11 homers.

Paul Goldschmidt has put up a really strong season so far, earning 128 hits, 29 homers and 71 RBI’s. Paul DeJong has earned 117 hits, 24 home runs and 64 RBI’s. Kolten Wong has 113 hits, 10 homers and 51 RBI’s on the season, while Marcell Ozuna has put up 102 hits, 24 home runs and 77 RBI’s. Dexter Fowler, Matt Carpenter and Matt Wieters have double-digit homers as well.

St. Louis has put up a better hitting lineup throughout this season. The Cardinals have strong depth throughout this lineup, while Cincinnati has a solid top part of their lineup, but it falls off a bit later. The Cardinals will look to get their bats going early to pull ahead with an advantage on this offensive side.

Pitchers

Trevor Bauer will start on the mound for the Reds on Friday night. Bauer has put up a record of 1-3 with Cincinnati, while he has a 10-11 record through 29 starts this season. Bauer has an ERA of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.265 throughout this season. Bauer’s last start came against the Pittsburgh Pirates, where he allowed eight hits and seven earned runs through three innings.

Dakota Hudson will be the starter for St. Louis in Friday night’s matchup. Hudson has posted a record of 13-6 throughout 27 games this season. In those games, Hudson has posted an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.479. Hudson’s last start came against the Colorado Rockies, where he allowed two hits and no runs through six innings in route to his thirteenth win.

These two pitchers are pretty close in skill level. Bauer has not been quite as good, but he has not been on the best teams this season. Hudson has played pretty well this season, as can be shown in his record and stat line. I believe that Hudson’s advantage on the mound, could help push the Cardinals towards a nice home win to open up this series.

Pick Overview

St. Louis has been the better team against the Reds this season, and I believe that they will add another win on Friday night. The Cardinals have both the better hitting lineup and the better pitcher this season. Trevor Bauer has struggled with Cincinnati so far, and I believe he will do so again as he goes against a red hot St. Louis team.

BetOnline has the Cardinals listed as a -110 against the money line for this game. With St. Louis at home and the better overall team, I believe that this number is pretty low. This gives a lot of value on the Cardinals as such small favorites in this game.

My Pick
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.