Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Pick – September 11, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Luis Castillo (1-5, 3.95 ERA) vs. Adam Wainwright (4-0, 2.68 ERA)

The Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals meet at Busch Stadium for three games over the weekend. The Cardinals are on the heels of a double-header in Detroit against the Tigers. They took a split yesterday with a big win in the early matchup by a score of 12-2. It was the 31st run that the Tigers’ pitching staff conceded in two games.

However, they were able to snap out of the run barrage and get a solid performance out of Jordan Zimmermann in the nightcap. The Cardinals had a 3-1 lead going into the final frame, so they let that one get away from them. That was the only two games of the series, so the Cardinals had to settle with a split in the two-game interleague meeting.

They’re within striking distance of the Chicago Cubs for the lead in the National League Central. The Cardinals are down by three games, with more games left on their schedule than the Cubs. They had to sit out because of the coronavirus, so the Brewers have to take that into consideration. The NL Central has been one of the worst divisions in baseball.

The Cubs and Atlanta Braves are the only teams in the major leagues that lead their division with 26 wins. Each team has a three-game lead on the field. The Cardinals keep plugging away and have to be aware that the Cubs are a beatable team. They could still win the division, and even then, eight teams are going to get in from the National League.

One of the biggest positives from the Cardinals this season has been the play of Adam Wainwright. Many believed that Wainwright was going to have to settle as a back of the rotation guy at this point in his career, though he’s having different plans. Wainwright has been one of the best hurlers in the rotation.

The 39-year-old has been motivated and it has shown through six starts. Wainwright gets the call tonight for the Cardinals to open this three-game series. Luis Castillo is scheduled for the Reds. Head below for our free Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals pick for September 11, 2020.

Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Odds:


  • Reds +1.5 (-205)
  • Cardinals -1.5 (+175)

  • Reds (-114)
  • Cardinals (+104)

  • Over 8 (-115)
  • Under 8 (-105)


Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction:

You have to tip your cap Wainwright for getting his stuff right going into the 2020 campaign. He hasn’t recorded an ERA below 4.00 in a full season since 2014. Wainwright had an ERA of 1.61 in 2015 before exiting after just seven appearances.

He’s been dealing with injuries ever since, but has managed to finally get back on track, at least so far this season. Wainwright was solid enough with an ERA of 4.19 and 1.43 WHIP last season. It feels like he’s taking a next step back to where he was in his prime, though.

Wainwright goes into Friday with an ERA of 2.68 and 0.92 WHIP. He has conceded 2 of fewer runs in five out of his six starts in 2020. In his last two outings, Wainwright has allowed 2 earned runs in each game. Against the Cleveland Indians, he went the distance and pitched 9 innings two weeks ago. The Indians were able to get to Wainwright for only 4 hits and 2 runs.

Luis Castillo has had problems against the Cardinals in the past. The Cards are hitting .307 with a .354 OBP against Castillo in 138 at-bats. They’ve also connected for 9 long balls and 20 RBI. He’s been iffy on the road with an ERA of 4.44 and 1.59 WHIP through five games and 26.1 innings of work. It’s hard not to like the Cardinals as a home underdog at Busch Stadium on Friday night.


The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.