Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick – MLB July 15, 2022

The Cincinnati Reds are looking to stay hot in St. Louis following an exciting extra-inning win at Yankee Stadium last night. They were able to fight back after blowing a 4-1 lead in the 8th frame. The Yankees forced extras, but the Reds responded with 3 runs in the top of the 10th.

That was enough of a cushion to hand the Reds a big 7-6 win to take two of three games at Yankee Stadium. They were close to getting the full three-game sweep, but came just short in the second game in a 7-6 loss.

REDS ARE HOT
Beating the Yankees is only part of their success recently. The Reds swept the Tampa Bay Rays in three games and nearly did it to the Yankees. They’re entering with six wins in their previous seven outings.

What does this mean for the Reds going forward? Probably not too much, at least as far as contending for the postseason is concerned. They’re 34-55 and 15.5 games behind the Brewers for the lead in the NL Central.

The Orioles and Reds are two of the hottest teams in baseball. No, really.

The Reds have another tough opponent on the menu this weekend. They’re back in the NL Central for a series against the Cards. St. Louis enters at 48-44 and three games behind the Brew Crew.

Milwaukee stole one at Oracle Park last night to maintain a three-game lead. The Cards are coming off back-to-back losses to the Dodgers. Things started off well with a 7-6 win, but St. Louis dropped the second and final game of the series.

The Reds are expected to send rookie Hunter Greene to the hill at Busch Stadium. He will be making the 18th start of his career. Fellow rookie, Andre Pallante, has the nod at home.

Head below for our free Reds vs. Cardinals prediction on July 15, 2022.

Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Cincinnati Reds +1.5 (-150) +122 Over 8.5 (-120)
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+130) -153 Under 8.5 (+100)
Team Data Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals
Overall Record 34-55 48-44
Away/Home Record 16-27 27-20
Batting Average .237 .247
Batting Average Away/Home .225 .250
Runs Per 9 4.37 4.57
Team ERA 5.23 3.79
Team ERA Away/Home 5.15 3.49

Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction:

The Reds are sending Hunter Greene to the mound, as he looks to get his season in order at Busch Stadium. Greene hasn’t been at his best this season, but it’s a good year for him to get experience for the future.

Greene enters this start with an ERA of 5.70 and a 1.34 WHIP in 86 innings.

He’s been consistently producing these numbers. That said, Greene is coming off one of his better performances. He allowed 3 hits, 4 walks, and 1 earned run in a 5-4 win over the Rays.

COMMAND AN ISSUE
Despite giving up just 1 earned run in that start, Greene walked 4 batters and had to get out of jams through 6 innings. The Rays couldn’t take advantage.

Prior to that performance, Greene was pushed around for 7 hits and 6 earned runs in 5.1 innings of work. He is entering tonight with a 5.87 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in his previous three attempts.

Greene owns a 5.61 ERA and 1.29 WHIP on the road in his rookie campaign.

The Cardinals didn’t hit well in their first meeting against Greene. They managed 2 hits and 1 earned run on June 11. After seeing Greene’s stuff once, the Cards should be better prepared this time.

Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends:

Reds

  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 2-6 overall in their previous eight games versus the NL Central
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games after their opponent scores 2 or fewer runs
  • 4-10 overall in their previous 14 games on a Friday
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games at St. Louis
  • 2-6 overall in their previous eight games versus the Cardinals

Cardinals

  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 14-5 overall in their previous 19 games versus a starter with a WHIP worse than 1.30
  • 35-17 overall in their previous 52 games versus the NL Central
  • 4-1 in their previous five games versus the Reds at home
  • 6-2 overall in their previous eight games versus the Reds
  • UNDER is 5-2 in their previous seven games

  • Andre Pallante is going into his eighth major league start with an ERA of 3.10 and a 1.43 WHIP through 65 innings. He has been in better form at home this season.

    Pallante has strong numbers with an ERA of 2.88 and a 1.40 WHIP in 40.1 innings at Busch Stadium.

    He’s given up 3 hits in 12 at-bats with no runs allowed against the Reds. Pallante hasn’t allowed an extra-base hit against this one.

    The bullpen has been in fine form, with a 3.57 ERA and 1.23 WHIP this season. They have a big edge over the Reds in this respect, as Cincinnati is last in the majors with a 5.23 ERA.

    The Reds may give a good effort in this one, but I’m leaning towards them slowing down a touch in this series opener at Busch Stadium. Greene likely doesn’t last too long, with the ball handed over to a tired bullpen after a series at Yankee Stadium. At +120 on the runline, the Cards are worth considering.

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    Reds vs. Cardinals Pick
    ST. LOUIS CARDINALS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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