Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox Pick – MLB July 27, 2022

The good news for the Boston Red Sox is that they bounced back after getting embarrassed against the Toronto Blue Jays. Following a historic series, and not for the better, the Red Sox responded nicely with a 3-1 win behind Nick Pivetta.

That game was all Pivetta, as if he didn’t pitch well in that one, the Red Sox are losing again. Pivetta allowed 7 hits and 1 earned runs across 5.2 innings. That said the Red Sox were still outhit, 8-6, and followed up with a losing effort last night.

The Guardians pushed the Red Sox around in an 8-3 final last night. Josh Winckowski allowed 6 hits and 5 earned runs in 3 innings. Bryan Shaw conceded 3 hits and 2 earned runs in 2.1 innings.

That was nice while it lasted for the Red Sox. They went right back to losing after Pivetta bailed this team out on Monday night. The Red Sox are losers in six of their previous seven outings.

Boston is 49-49 and dead last in the AL East.

As a result of this skid, and the Orioles heating up recently, the Red Sox have fallen all the way down the scale to 17 games behind the Yankees. Ouch.

The Orioles are the better team right now and are playing with a purpose. The body language for the Red Sox is terrible all around.

Nathan Eovaldi will have the call on the bump following a miserable performance last week versus the Blue Jays. He was on the mound for the 28-5 loss to the Blue Jays, so there is nowhere to go up. It can’t get any worse. Cal Quantrill counters for the Guardians.

Head below for our free Guardians vs. Red Sox prediction on July 27, 2022.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Cleveland Guardians +1.5 (-170) +110 Over 9 (-110)
Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+145) -132 Under 9 (-110)
Team Data Cleveland Guardians Boston Red Sox
Overall Record 49-47 49-49
Away/Home Record 24-28 24-24
Batting Average .249 .252
Batting Average Away/Home .251 .262
Runs Per 9 4.46 4.59
Team ERA 3.88 4.31
Team ERA Away/Home 4.15 4.77

Guardians vs. Red Sox Prediction:

Nathan Eovaldi had a start that he wants to but soon won’t forget against the Toronto Blue Jays. Eovaldi will forever be mentioned as the starting pitcher to lose 28-5 for the Red Sox. It wasn’t all his fault, but Eovaldi allowed 8 hits and 9 earned runs through 2.2 innings.

There aren’t many excuses for a performance like that even though the Jays are a tough out.

Eovaldi watched his ERA jump up to a 4.30 ERA and 1.23 WHIP following that disaster. He wasn’t coming off an encouraging performance before that start either.

He had allowed 6 hits and 3 earned runs in 4.1 innings to the Yankees before the Jays raked him across the coals.

Fenway Park hasn’t been a fortified fortress for him as well. Eovaldi heads to the hill at Fenway, with an ERA of 6.98 and a 1.62 WHIP at home this season.

Fenway is one of those unique parks, which can pose issues for some pitchers.

At least this season, Eovaldi isn’t having a fun time at Fenway and it came to a head against the Blue Jays. He can’t be that bad tonight, but I’m not willing to lay around -130 to back him in this one.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games after scoring a minimum of 5 runs
  • 5-2 overall in their previous seven games on a Wednesday
  • 6-3 overall in their previous nine games
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games at Boston
  • OVER is 6-2 in their previous eight games at Boston

Red Sox

  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 3-13 overall in their previous 16 games versus a right-handed starter
  • 1-6 overall in their previous seven games versus a team with a winning record
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games at home
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games after a loss
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five third game of a series

  • Cal Quantrill enters Fenway Park with a respectable ERA of 3.75 and a 1.30 WHIP in 18 starts. He’s coming off a big campaign last season.

    Quantrill posted an ERA of 2.89 and a 1.18 WHIP spent between the bullpen and rotation last season.

    He’s not in ace shape, but Quantrill has been more than serviceable for the Guardians. Quantrill is going into Fenway Park with an ERA of 3.18 and a 1.29 WHIP in his last three attempts.

    The Red Sox haven’t been in their best form against Quantrill in his career. They’ve hit just 1 home run, which is the only RBI vs Quantrill through 42 at-bats.

    I’m not too excited about laying -130 on the Red Sox with Eovaldi on the bump tonight. He can’t do any worse than he did against the Blue Jays, but there is little value in that bet. The Guardians getting plus money has to be the play.


    Guardians vs. Red Sox Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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