Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins Pick – MLB June 22, 2022

The Minnesota Twins are entertaining the Cleveland Guardians at Target Field for three days. The Guardians opened with a win last night to go to 16-4 in their last 20 games. Aaron Civale pitched well with 5 hits and 2 earned runs allowed across 5 innings.

Franmil Reyes and Josh Naylor each had a big night at the plate with 2 RBIs each. The Guardians are on fire right now and have reeled the Twins in for top honors in the AL Central.

The Twins had a comfortable lead by almost ten games. It felt just like yesterday. They were the only team with a record better than .500 for a long time in the AL Central.

As a result of this hot form, the Guardians are even with the Twins and 3.5 games in front of the White Sox. It’s a three-team race, with the Tigers and Royals well behind in the division.

The Guardians are going into tonight at 35-28 on the season.

Cleveland enters tonight with a win in seven of their previous eight attempts. Their only loss during that time was a 7-1 loss to the LA Dodgers. They won two of three games in that series, so it was a win, though.

The Twins felt pretty comfortable this season, but that’s how fast things can change in the major leagues. While the Guardians are hot, the Twins have been mediocre, with losses in five of their last eight outings.

This one should be a pretty good pitcher’s matchup with Triston McKenzie and Sonny Gray on the bump. Head below for our free Guardians vs. Twins prediction on June 22, 2022.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Cleveland Guardians +1.5 (-165) +130 Over 8.5 (-110)
Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+135) -155 Under 8.5 (-110)
Betting Site
Bonus Bet Now
1BetOnline Logo BetOnline

50% up to $1,000 Go to Site
2 Bovada

50% up to $1,000 Go to Site
3 BetUS

125% up to $2,500 Go to Site
4 Everygame

100% up to $500 Go to Site
5 MyBookie

100% up to $1,000 Go to Site
Team Data Cleveland Guardians Minnesota Twins
Overall Record 35-28 38-31
Away/Home Record 19-18 20-15
Batting Average .245 .248
Batting Average Away/Home .240 .253
Runs Per 9 4.63 4.52
Team ERA 3.58 3.85
Team ERA Away/Home 3.92 3.66

Guardians vs. Twins Prediction:

The Guardians have gotten help from several pieces on their roster to catch up to the Twins. One of them that has helped much in the rotation is Triston McKenzie. The 24-year-old is rounding into peak form, as he can’t be ignored for too much longer.

McKenzie is going into this start with an ERA of 2.96 and a 0.93 WHIP.

In his second year in the majors, McKenzie had his biggest workload last season with 25 appearances. He finished with an ERA of 4.95 and a 1.18 WHIP.

The numbers weren’t the best for him last season, but he really looked like an ace at times. Like many young pitchers, consistency can be a problem.

McKenzie has figured out how to be consistent and has been more reliable in his third season. In four of his previous five starts, McKenzie has surrendered 2 or fewer earned runs.

In his last start against the Twins, he held the offense to 3 hits and 3 runs in a 3-1 loss.

The Twins are hitting .128 with a .223 OBP versus McKenzie in 57 at-bats. He may need a strong outing with a confident Sonny Gray on the other side.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 8-2
  • 4-0 overall in their previous four games versus the AL Central
  • 7-1 overall in their previous eight games on the road
  • UNDER is 7-3-1 in their previous 11 games versus the AL Central
  • UNDER is 4-1-2 in their previous seven games on the road
  • UNDER is 4-0 in their previous four games on the road with Triston McKenzie as the starter


  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 7-1 overall in ther previous eight games after a loss
  • 16-5 overall in their previous 21 games as a betting favorite at home
  • UNDER is 3-0-1 in their previous four games on a Wednesday
  • UNDER is 5-2-1 in their previous eight games
  • UNDER is 7-3 in their previous ten games versus the Guardians

  • Besides that one bad season with the Yankees, Gray has been a reliable starter. He just didn’t like the spotlight in the Bronx.

    Gray has an ERA of 2.09 and a 0.93 WHIP through 40.1 innings.

    He’s in his best form right now, with a 0.50 ERA and 0.56 WHIP in his previous three starts. In eight starts, Gray hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs.

    Gray has been at his best in Minnesota, with a 1.73 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. He’s yielded just 5 runs and 16 hits in 26 innings.

    Gray has been one of the most underrated pitchers going unnoticed in the majors this season. He hasn’t gotten the most attention since flaming out with the Yankees, but he’s been holding his own over the past few years.

    I’m pointing towards a low-scoring contest between the Guardians and Twins. McKenzie and Gray should lead well in this one. Look at the UNDER as an option on the diamond at Target Field tonight.


    Guardians vs. Twins Pick
    UNDER 8.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.