Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick – September 16, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Aaron Civale (3-5, 3.88 ERA) vs. Jon Lester (2-2, 5.05 ERA)

The Cleveland Indians and Chicago Cubs will get after it again on Wednesday at Wrigley Field after a close call on Tuesday in Wrigleyville. The Cubs blew a 5-3 9th inning lead, only to respond in the bottom half of the inning with a run to win 6-5. It was a weird way to win, with two HBP to close out the game.

You don’t see a win like that everyday. If you were a Cubs’ backer, you will take the win any way you can get it after a blown save. It wasn’t a brilliant performance by Yu Darvish, but he was able to work himself out of trouble and gave up 3 earned runs on 9 hits.

The Indians really need to figure something out fast. They’ve gone from an American League Central to possibly missing out on the postseason altogether in just a couple of weeks. The Indians are on a seven-game losing streak and need to end it before it gets even worse. Cleveland head into Tuesday with a record of 26-22 for third in the AL Central to put them six games back in the division.

The White Sox won again last night, so they’re up three on the Twins for the biggest separation we’ve seen. With Lucas Giolito on the bump today, the White Sox have a good chance of going up by four games on Wednesday. The Indians are the last team into the postseason right now in the American League.

The next closest team, the Seattle Mariners, are a 22-26 team, so it’d be some kind of epic collapse if the Tribe aren’t playing baseball in October. Aaron Civale will be assigned with getting the Indians back on track on Wednesday at Wrigley Field. Jon Lester, who hasn’t been himself this season, will counter for the Cubs. Head below for our free Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago Cubs pick for September 16, 2020.

Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Indians OFF
  • Cubs OFF
Moneyline:

  • Indians (-125)
  • Cubs (+115)
Total:

  • Over OFF
  • Under OFF

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Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction:

The Chicago Cubs are comfortably in the playoffs right now. They are currently in a tie with the Atlanta Braves for the second seed in the National League. The Padres have three more wins at 32-18, though the Dodgers are up in the NL West, so advantage to the Cubs and Braves. The Cubs have a five-game advantage on the Cardinals following Tuesday.

Jon Lester hasn’t been responsible for that, but he showed some positive signs in his most recent start. Lester enters Wednesday with an ERA of 5.05 and 1.34 WHIP. It looks like that Lester will reach a career-low this season. Right now he is just looking to get his ERA below the 5.00 mark. This season started off so well for Lester, too. He went 5 innings and didn’t allow a hit or run versus the Reds on July 27 in the season opener.

From there, Lester made two more solid performances, with just 2 earned runs allowed in 12 innings versus the Pirates and the Indians. However, then Lester went off the rails, having allowed at least 4 earned runs in four out of five outings. Lester was able to get a feel for things again in his most recent showing on September 11.

He was working fast through the Brewers, as Lester held them to 3 hits and no earned runs through 6 innings. Lester has had issues at Wrigley Field this season for whatever reason, but that performance might have given him his confidence back. He’s been sharp versus the Indians throughout his career, as the current lineup is hitting just .186 against Lester in 69 at-bats. I’m going to go with Lester being in decent form tonight.

Aaron Civale goes into Chicago with some problems of his own. He’s conceded 20 hits and 11 earned runs in his last three starts. Civale has an ERA of 5.50 and 1.44 WHIP in his last three starts. Overall, Civale has been pretty good in his sophomore campaign. He owns an ERA of 3.88 and 1.16 WHIP, though he’s been sliding a bit recently, and I don’t know about laying juice on him and the Indians on the road. I’d rather take my chances on the Cubs as home dogs at home on Wednesday evening in Wrigleyville.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.