Cleveland Indians vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick – MLB August 4, 2020

    Shane Bieber (2-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Tyler Mahle (0-0, 4.50 ERA)

We’re back on the Major League Baseball grind on Tuesday following a tough Monday. It should have been a winning night, but Mike Soroka went down and the game went off the rails for the Braves. Even after Soroka went down and the Mets pounding the Atlanta bullpen immediately after, the game only went OVER the total by a run. I’m very confident that we would have had a win on the UNDER if Soroka didn’t suffer a fluke injury. It’s a much tougher situation for Soroka, who seems to be done for the season now.

Elsewhere in the majors, the Cleveland Indians were edged out by the Cincinnati Reds by a score of 3-2. It was a good effort for the Reds’ Sonny Gray, who was on point with 4 hits and an earned run conceded in 6 innings. Gray K’d eight hitters for a productive day at the office. Zach Plesac was in good form as well, but 4 hits and 3 earned runs was enough damage to give up a win to the Reds. The Reds need to get something going soon, as they started off slow in the NL Central. On the other hand, the Cubs have been red-hot and three games clear of the Reds going into Tuesday.

Joey Votto, who self isolated after reporting symptoms the other day, smacked a long ball to lead the Reds on Monday night. He wasn’t feeling too good over the weekend, but it appears to be a false alarm after getting the greenlight to play. Despite a false alarm for Votto, that was a smart move by him to get away from people and isolate. Other players must be as smart as Votto when they start feeling ill, or a chain reaction will happen like what happened to the Miami Marlins and St. Louis Cardinals. That was a wake up call to the rest of the league.

The Indians need to wake up themselves on the field to have a shot at the AL Central. They’re 5-6 and 3.5 games back of the Chicago White Sox. Sure there is time on the shot clock left this season, but it’s going to be hard to erase an early season hole. The Minnesota Twins have been the class of the division so far, with a record of 8-2 for a two-game advantage on the Chicago White Sox. The Indians do have Shane Bieber in their stable, though.

Bieber is an early season Cy Young favorite in the American League. It’s a little premature, but starting pitchers aren’t going to get a lot of starts this season. A hot stretch is going to be enough to win a Cy Young. Bieber gets the call on Tuesday, with the Reds countering with Tyler Mahle. Head below for our free Cleveland Indians vs. Cincinnati Reds pick for August 4, 2020.

Cleveland Indians vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Baseball Betting Odds:


  • Indians -1.5 (-105)
  • Reds +1.5 (-115)

  • Indians (-160)
  • Reds (+148)
Total Points:

  • Over 8 (-115)
  • Under 8 (-105)


Cleveland Indians vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction:

Shane Bieber will take to the hill for his third start of the season on Tuesday. He’s gotten the attention of people early in this shortened year. He doesn’t have a full sample size of games to showcase his ability, but in two games Bieber has been on the right path. Bieber has blanked the Minnesota Twins and KC Royals for 14 straight innings of scoreless baseball.

From what I saw from Bieber last season, he had the potential to be something special. He ended the 2019 campaign with a 3.28 ERA and 1.05 WHIP despite not getting the most attention in the majors as a sophomore. Bieber looks to be ready to build on that production and breakout this season as a star. It’s only two games, but Bieber looked unhittable at times last season as well.

This is just a continuation from last season for Bieber. He owns an ERA of 0.00 and 0.57 WHIP in 14 innings of work. Bieber has been full on dominant against the hitters he’s facing today on the Reds. The Reds are hitting just .120 with a .132 OBP against Bieber in 46 at-bats. Freddy Galvis is the only Red to take Bieber deep. He was responsible for both runs scored on Bieber.

Tyler Mahle on the other hand hasn’t figured out the Indians in his four-year major league career. The Indian are hitting .345 with a .385 OBP against Mahle in 29 at-bats. Domingo Santana is the only member of the Tribe that has faced Mahle and hasn’t recorded a hit yet. Mahle enters Tuesday with an ERA of 4.50 and 1.75 WHIP in one start against the Cubs this season.

Bieber is still somewhat of a hidden gem in the major leagues, hence he’s only a -160 favorite here. I think if this game was later in the season, or more people knew about how talented Bieber is, then the Indians would be in the -200 range against the Reds in this one. And it’s not like Mahle should provide the most resistance on the bump. I like Cleveland to respond for a win after losing a close one yesterday.


The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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