Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers – MLB April 13

10:10 p.m. ET – Rockies at Dodgers (-330 ML) O/U: 8

The 3-7 Rockies remained in California after being swept by the Giants in San Francisco over the weekend, getting outscored 11-4 in the three-game series. The 8-2 Dodgers are trending in the other direction, winning 3-0 against Washington on Sunday to complete a three-game sweep heading into this three-game set against Colorado.

These two teams opened up the season with a four-game series in Colorado, where the Rockies won the opening game before losing the following three, giving up an average of seven runs a game to Los Angeles in the three consecutive losses.

About the Rockies

Colorado Rockies LogoColorado committed to the rebuild over the summer, trading star third baseman Nolan Arenado to the St. Louis Cardinals for a plethora of young talent. That young talent is not helping this team win games right now. That much has become abundantly clear through their first 10 games.

Second baseman Ryan McMahon has been one of the few bright spots for the Rockies, batting .324 with a major league-leading five home runs. Shortstop Trevor Story and outfielder Charlie Blackmon help anchor the lineup along with McMahon, but with the way Coors Field plays and how bad the Colorado pitching staff is, this team cannot physically score enough runs to stay in contention past the All-Star break.

About the Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers LogoThe defending World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers seem to have only gotten stronger over the offseason with the addition of Trevor Bauer to an already elite pitching staff. Not to mention they boast a batting lineup that features the likes of Mookie Betts, Cody Bellinger, Max Muncy, Corey Seager and Justin Turner.

The story of the early season for the Dodgers has been the arrival of second baseman Zach Mckinstry, who is batting .321 and has seemingly become what everyone thought fellow second baseman prospect Gavin Lux would be. Los Angeles’ lineup is scary to even the best pitchers in the game, as they do not have any easy outs up and down the lineup. The defending champions are still the favorites to repeat for a reason, as the Commissioner’s Trophy runs through Los Angeles.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Colorado Rockies +1½ (+130) +265 O 8 (+100)
Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ (-150) -330 U 8 (-120)

The Pitching Matchup

Colorado is throwing right-hander Antonio Senzatela on the mound on Tuesday night. Senzatela threw eight scoreless in his last start against the Diamondbacks, allowing only four hits. His ERA is still 5.56 despite that great start because in his first start these same Dodgers roughed him up for seven earned runs in only 3.1 innings, recording nine hits in the process. Los Angeles is handing the ball over Bauer, the reigning National League Cy Young Award winner who signed with the Dodgers as a free agent after a stellar season in Cincinnati. Bauer is 1-0 this season but has an ERA of 4.15 that is slightly bloated because he’s given up three home runs in his first two starts. Bauer is surely going to find his form soon enough, but to start the year he appears to be in need of dusting off the cobwebs.

What’s the Bet?
The best bet for this game is to avoid looking at the steep Moneyline that the Dodgers are favored by or the appetizing payout of a large underdog in the Rockies. Target the Over/Under total for maximum value in this one, specifically the Over. This number is sitting at eight runs because people are betting on the Bauer to toe the rubber and be terrific. But he is not quite in form yet and although he should have a good outing, allowing two or three runs in six innings of work should push this game over the O/U total. The Dodgers’ batting order is so deep that they could score eight runs by themselves. They got seven off Senzatela in 3.1 innings the first time they met, so this time around they will be even more than comfortable against him in the box. Back the Over of eight runs in a game that features two teams inside the top 10 in runs scored per game in the majors over the early stretch of this season.
The Bet
Over 8 Runs

*Odds courtesy of MyBookie

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Joe Menzer / Author

Joe is an award-winning writer and editor who has covered the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, golf, various collegiate athletics and other sports for newspapers, Turner Sports, Fox Sports and ESPN. He has been on the beat for seven Super Bowls, six Daytona 500s and numerous NBA playoff series and All-Star Games. He once was dispatched to Rome, Italy to spend time with an NBA draft choice who opted to play overseas, after which he produced an award-winning series of stories. He also is passionate about fantasy sports and breaking down games in ways that even novice gamblers can use to make their most intelligent wagering decisions.