Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick – October 5th

How great is playoff baseball? We continued our hot start to the playoffs last night by picking up another win when we backed the Milwaukee Brewers against the Colorado Rockies. I just felt that with all of the travel demands and the excessive schedule of meaningful games in the last two weeks for Colorado, that they would struggle in this one. And that is what happened, until the ninth inning at least.

The Brewers dominated this game for the first eight innings. Even though they managed just two runs, they had many more opportunities to score runs and just couldn’t quite cash them in. The Rockies played with fire all evening long and came out of it rarely getting burned. The Rockies then made their move in the ninth inning as they loaded up the bases with no outs.

The Rockies were able to plate two runs in the ninth to tie the game up and send it into extra innings. The game was still tied at two runs apiece when Mike Moustakas singled in Christian Yelich for the game-winning run in the bottom of the tenth inning. This game was playoff baseball at its absolute best. Both teams fought hard and, in the end, the best players for each team came through when their team needed them the most. For today’s pick, I will stay right here in Milwaukee and break down game two of this series between the Rockies and Brewers.

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Colorado Rockies today in game two of the best of five game National League Divisional Series. The Brewers will look to take a commanding two games to none lead in the series as they took game one last night in dramatic fashion in extra innings. The Rockies will look to even up the series and steal home field advantage away from the Brewers before the series shifts to Colorado for game three.

Starting today for the Brewers is Jhoulys Chacin (15-8 3.50 ERA), and for the Rockies, it is Tyler Anderson (7-9 4.55 ERA). The Brewers are -157 home favorites. The game total over-under is set at eight runs. First pitch is scheduled for 1:15 PM PST from Miller Park in Milwaukee.

I am a believer in Jhoulys Chacin. Chacin had a bit of an up and down season, but he did win fifteen games this year, and when the Brewers really needed him the most, he came up big. We saw that in the one-game playoff game where the Brewers and Chacin had to go into Chicago and beat the Cubs at Wrigley Field for the division title. Chacin pitched five and two-thirds innings of one-hit ball and the Brewers were able to lock up the division title.

In his last three starts, all of which the Brewers could not afford to lose, Chacin pitched well and ran the table, with the Brewers winning each game. Had they lost any of those three games they wouldn’t be where they are right now with home-field advantage in the divisional series.  Chacin had one start this year against the Rockies and pitched well as he threw five and a third innings and allowed just two earned runs and picked up the win for his efforts.

The Rockies will start Tyler Anderson today in game two. Anderson had a decent start to the year for Colorado, but the wheels have fallen off a bit in the second half of the year. In August and September, he is 1-6 with an ERA over five runs. He did, however, manage to pitch well in his last start as he threw seven and two-thirds of shutout ball against the Washington Nationals. But that was a game where he had a huge lead early and was playing against a Nationals team that was out of contention with nothing to play for.

In his lone start against Milwaukee this season, coming on August 4th, Anderson got absolutely embarrassed as he got hammered for seven runs in just four innings of work and the Rockies got blown out. The Rockies will need a huge performance from Anderson tonight if they want any shot of getting back into this series.

I am not sure I could like the Brewers any more than I do in this game. They are at home, are the far superior team, and have the better starter on the mound. I think last night’s game was a wakeup call for Milwaukee that they need to put this team away when they get the chance. I expect them to do just that today. The game line is much lower than I think it should be at just -157 for Milwaukee.

I know playoff games are always going to be harder to win, so we don’t see too many big numbers, but in my estimation, this line could be a lot higher. And when I look at the run line, I am shocked that I can get the Brewers at +124. I know those home runs lines are tough to cover, and I don’t take very many of them because of it. But I think Tyler Anderson gets blown out tonight.

So, I will take a shot on a jumbo payout and back the Brewers on the run line today in game two. I see Chacin giving us five or six innings of good baseball and Anderson not making it out of the third inning as he gets roughed up early. Give me the Milwaukee Brewers laying a run and a half on the run line today in game two from Miller Park at +124!

The Bet: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 runs at +124


Jason Gray / Author

Jason is a true Las Vegas insider as he has called the sports betting capital of the world his home for sixteen years. Jason started out his career in gaming by running the biggest poker tournaments in the world and managing some of the biggest sportsbooks on the strip. Jason has transitioned out of casino operations and has been covering sports betting for the sports geek for just over two years. His main focus is on baseball, college basketball, and the NFL