Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick – MLB April 29, 2021

The Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks are scheduled to get a four-game series underway at Chase Field in Phoenix. The Diamondbacks are coming off a 12-3 loss against the San Diego Padres last night at home. Despite the loss, they’ll take a split against the Padres. A day earlier, the Diamondbacks shuttered the Padres’ offense in a 5-1 win. Merrill Kelly pitched a big game, as he held the Padres to 4 hits and 1 earned run. That was an impressive win for the Diamondbacks to win their third straight game.

The San Diego offense woke up last night, though, as they poured it on for 12 runs in a 12-3 win. Riley Smith lasted 4 innings on the bump with 6 hits and 3 earned runs allowed. The Padres didn’t stop there, as they got to the bullpen for 8 earned runs. Nick Ahmed had a fairly solid game, but other than that, there were no positives to take from Wednesday. In any event, the Diamondbacks have been in solid form with wins in seven of their last nine games.

No one is expecting the D-backs to have much success in the NL West, but they have a good team waiting in the wings. There is young talent to like in the desert on the Diamondbacks. However, playing in this division doesn’t do them any favors. If you want to spin it positively, you can say that the Diamondbacks are getting plenty of experience against some quality competition in the NL West. They head into Thursday night with a record of 12-12. It was a slow start, but their seven wins in nine attempts has helped get them to .500 on the season.

2021 is going to be that kind of season with a plethora of ups and downs. Arizona will send out Luke Weaver to the bump tonight. Weaver is in need of a productive performance. If the Diamondbacks are going to have success this season, a big campaign from Weaver is required. The Rockies are expected to counter with Antonio Senzatela. Colorado is a 9-15 team going into Phoenix following a 7-3 loss against the Giants. Head below for our free Rockies vs. Diamondbacks pick on April 29, 2021.

Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Rockies +1.5 (-155)
  • Diamondbacks -1.5 (+135)
Moneyline:

  • Rockies +139
  • Diamondbacks -151
Total:

  • Over 9 (+100)
  • Under 9 (-120)

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Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction:

It’s been a disappointing start to the season for Luke Weaver. He has been really good in one performance, and not so on point in his other two outings. This comes after Weaver had a tough 2020 following a promising 2019 campaign. Weaver didn’t get through the 2019 season because of injuries, but was effective with an ERA of 2.94 and 1.07 WHIP. He was unable to bounce back in good form last season.

It was a disappointing year for Weaver, as he posted an ERA of 6.58 and 1.56 WHIP. Teams hit .292 against Weaver through 52 innings of work. Weaver goes into tonight with an ERA of 4.57 and 1.11 WHIP in four starts. He’s allowed 19 hits and 11 earned runs through 21.2 innings. His problem so far has been the deep ball, as Weaver has given up 5 home runs so far this season. The Diamondbacks’ pitching staff as a whole hasn’t been particularly strong. It hasn’t been just Weaver having difficulties.

Note that Arizona is 28th in the majors with 5.15 runs against per 9 innings. Opponents are hitting a healthy .252 against the Diamondbacks for third best in the majors. They are also giving up way too many home runs, with an average of 1.49 long balls conceded per outing. The same is true for the Rockies, who have been struggling on the hill as well.

Coors Field is an easy explanation, but it doesn’t explain why they’re doing poorly on the road as well. The Rockies are 27th in the majors with 5.08 runs against per 9 innings. Antonio Senzatela had a breakout campaign of sorts last season. He registered a career-high ERA of 3.44 and 1.35 WHIP.

However, Senzatela has notched an ERA of 5.76 and 1.44 WHIP thus far in 2021. Senzatela was productive in his first outing against the Diamondbacks this season, but he’s struggled to pitch well on the road. He owns a 13.50 ERA, 2.63 WHIP, and .438 OBA after getting pulled against the Dodgers.

Despite a solid 2020, his effort on the road wasn’t sharp either, so this isn’t a small sample size issue. Senzatela had a 2.10 ERA at home opposed to a 4.62 ERA on the road. The OVER has gone 5-0 in the Rockets’ previous five games as a result of a spotty pitching staff. For the Diamondbacks, they’ve hit the OVER in seven of their last nine, much for the same reasons. Even money for this game to get into the double digits looks like good value.

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Our Bet
OVER 9
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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