Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick – MLB July 10, 2022

The Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks have one more meeting in this four-game series at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks avoided losing their third in a row in the desert on Saturday. Madison Bumgarner had a strong outing, while the offense took care of the rest with 9 runs.

Bumgarner allowed 6 hits and 2 earned runs across 7 innings. Conversely, Kyle Freeland was unable to find his stroke. Freeland was tagged for 7 hits and 6 earned runs in 6.1 frames. The D-backs poured it on for 3 runs in the bottom of the 8th with 4 hits, and 3 earned runs against Jhoulys Chacin.

DON’T GET TOO EXCITED D-BACKS FANS
The Diamondbacks played well from every aspect yesterday. However, they’re 38-47 and have a 17.5-game deficit behind the Dodgers. Having said that, the Diamondbacks are improving and should be a competitive team in two or three years.

The Rockies are a game behind the D-backs in the NL West. In my opinion, they are not on the same trajectory as the Diamondbacks. They should probably get used to finishing last because it’s unlikely they will be as competitive over the next few years.

It’s not easy playing in a division featuring the Dodgers, Padres, and Giants.

Even after the Rockies and Diamondbacks return to respectability and competitiveness, they’ll have to deal with the NL West. It’s highly unlikely that the Rockies can put together a pitching staff strong enough to compete in the foreseeable future.

The Rockies haven’t had a rotation worth contending in a long time. Attracting talent to pitch at Coors Field is a whole different challenge.

They are expected to give German Marquez the series finale duties at Chase Field this afternoon. Marquez will pitch opposite Tyler Gilbert, who threw a no-hitter in his major league debut last season.

Head below for our free Rockies vs. Diamondbacks prediction on July 10, 2022.

Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+140) -115 Over 9 (-120)
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165) -105 Under 9 (+100)
Team Data Colorado Rockies Arizona Diamondbacks
Overall Record 38-47 37-48
Away/Home Record 14-27 22-25
Batting Average .257 .218
Batting Average Away/Home .233 .215
Runs Per 9 4.56 4.31
Team ERA 4.94 4.38
Team ERA Away/Home 4.86 4.05

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction:

The Rockies have the 30th ranked pitching staff, with a .274 batting average allowed this season. They’re 28th with 5.5 runs allowed per 9 innings. This can’t only be explained by pitching at Coors Field because they’re pretty bad no matter the ballpark.

Colorado has a 4.86 ERA and .343 OBA on the road in 2022.

There aren’t any excuses for pitching that poorly on the road. German Marquez hasn’t helped much, as he owns an ERA of 5.90 and a 1.53 WHIP this season. He’s struggled on the road with a 4.46 ERA and 1.37 WHIP.

NOT HIS FAVORITE OPPONENT
The Diamondbacks have done a good number on Marquez in his career. The current D-backs roster has nailed Marquez for a .335 batting average and .425 OBP in 129 at-bats.

That also includes 5 home runs and 22 RBIs. Christian Walker and David Peralta are responsible for 4 of the long balls.

Marquez enters in bad form, with 11 hits and 9 earned runs allowed in his previous 9.1 frames.

It’s hard to see him having success on Sunday afternoon. Maybe he holds up reasonably enough, but the Diamondbacks should do damage.

Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends:

Rockies

  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus a team with a losing record
  • 11-5 overall in their previous 16 games versus the NL West
  • OVER is 8-3 in their previous 11 games versus a team with a losing record
  • OVER is 3-1-2 in their previous six games versus a team with a left-handed starter
  • OVER is 4-1-1 in their previous six games

Diamondbacks

  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 2-5 overall in their previous seven games after a win
  • 9-26 overall in their previous 35 games on a Sunday
  • OVER is 6-1-1 in their previous eight games versus a team with a losing record
  • OVER is 9-3-1 in their previous 13 games
  • OVER is 7-3 in their previous ten games at home

  • Tyler Gilbert appeared in nine games for the Diamondbacks last season. He was able to get his feet wet and pitch pretty well in the process.

    Gilbert notched an ERA of 3.15 and a 1.03 WHIP in his first season.

    That was promising from Gilbert. However, Gilbert hasn’t shown the same form in 2022. He goes into Chase Field with an ERA of 6.86 and a 1.42 WHIP through five games.

    I’d say sophomore slump, but Gilbert only had nine assignments last year. In his previous three outings, Gilbert has an ugly ERA of 10.64 and a 1.91 WHIP.

    His latest start is a bit deceiving. He gave up only 1 earned run at home, but lasted only 3.2 innings following 4 hits and a walk. The cord was pulled just in time, or his recent ERA of 10.64 would look even worse.

    Look at the total in this one at Chase Field. The OVER should get there in a high-scoring series finale in the desert.

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    Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Pick
    OVER 9
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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