Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick – MLB May 7, 2022

The Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks have a three-game series in the desert at Chase Field this weekend. The Diamondbacks are coming off a 4-1 win behind a gem from starter Merrill Kelly.

Arizona has been on a heater with four straight wins and a win in six of their previous seven outings. They look poised to show considerable improve after finishing 52-110 last season.

The Diamondbacks went on an epic slide similar to what the Cincinnati Reds are going through at the moment. They were able to stabilize and showed some life in the second half of the season.

The opening stretch of the 2022 campaign has been much more promising for the Diamondbacks. With the win last night, they’re better than .500 at 14-13 on the season.

Don’t expect a postseason appearance from the Diamondbacks, but good progress should be made and the future looks bright in the desert.

Colorado is 15-10 on the season, as they have made good on protecting Coors Field. They haven’t had the same success on the road, though. This team’s biggest weapon is the tricky environment for their opponents at Coors in Denver.

Kyle Freeland and Zach Davies are scheduled to be in the saddle on the mound at Chase Field. Head below for our free Rockies vs. Diamondbacks prediction on May 7, 2022.

Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-185) +100 Over 8.5 (-115)
Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+160) -120 Under 8.5 (-105)
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Team Data Colorado Rockies Arizona Diamondbacks
Overall Record 15-10 13-13
Away/Home Record 4-5 5-7
Batting Average .261 .188
Batting Average Away/Home .231 .158
Runs Per 9 5.02 3.54
Team ERA 4.56 3.56
Team ERA Away/Home 5.03 3.03

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction:

The Rockies are third in the major leagues, with an average of 4.89 runs scored per 9 innings. However, all of their offensive production has been at Coors Field where the ball carries.

The Rockies are hitting .261 this season, but on the road, they drop to a team batting average of .231. In other words, it isn’t only because the ball flys at Coors Field.

They haven’t been making contact, either. Colorado is scoring just 3.07 runs per 9 innings on the road in 2022. That’s a notable drop from their production at Coors in Denver.

Coors Field is a tough place to pitch, but the Rockies are doing better at home than on the road. The Rockies have a team ERA of 5.03 in road outings as opposed to a 4.56 ERA overall.

Kyle Freeland enters Chase Field with an ERA of 4.85 and a 1.42 WHIP across 26 innings this season. He has been in a good rhythm recently over his last three starts, though Freeland has always been a spotty pitcher in his career.

The Diamondbacks have scored plenty against Freeland in his career. In 128 at-bats, this lineup has scored 22 RBIs and 9 home runs versus Freeland.

Christian Walker, Carson Kelly, and Nick Ahmed have all connected for 2 home runs against Freeland.

The power numbers are a positive for the Diamondbacks when Freeland is on the bump. Look for the same tonight at Chase Field.

Don’t expect much relief from the Rockies’ bullpen. They are next to last in the majors, with a team ERA of 4.87 from their relievers.

Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends:

Rockies

  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 0-5 overall in their previous five games as an underdog
  • 4-12 overall in their previous 16 games versus the NL West
  • 16-47 overall in their previous 63 road games versus a right-handed pitcher
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games on a Saturday
  • OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games on the road

Diamondbacks

  • Record (Last 10): 8-2
  • 7-1 overall in their previous eight games on a Saturday
  • 4-0 overall in their second game of a series
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games after a win
  • 5-2 overall in their previous seven games as a betting favorite at home
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus the Diamondbacks

Zach Davies is going into tonight with a respectable ERA of 4.24 and a 1.33 WHIP this season. He’s been on the hill for 24 innings and has done pretty well except for one troublespot versus the Mets at Citi Field.

Davies has posted an ERA of 3.21 and a 1.14 WHIP through his last three starts. He’s allowed just a .286 OBP and one home run.

The righty is coming off a strong performance against the Cardinals. He allowed 3 hits and no earned runs across 5 innings. Unfortunately, errors led to 2 runs while he was on the bump.

The Rockies are hitting .315 against left-handed pitching, but just .236 versus righties. On the road, the Rockies are .154 against right-handed pitching. Overall, the Rockies are 4-5 as a visiting opponent as opposed to 11-5 at home.

Colorado hasn’t been at their best versus Davies. They have connected for a .207 batting average with a .245 OBP in 92 at-bats.

The Diamondbacks are hot right now, something we didn’t have much of an opportunity to say last year. Ride them with Davies on the bump over Freeland at Chase Field.

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Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Pick
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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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