Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins Pick – MLB June 10, 2021

The Colorado Rockies and Miami Marlins are back on Thursday to wrap up a three-game series at loanDepot Park in Miami. Miami took the first game, 6-2, while the Rockies responded for a close win yesterday, 4-3. Pablo Lopez lasted 8 innings for the Marlins in the series opener, as he spun a beautiful game in the winning cause on Tuesday.

Antonio Senzatala didn’t hold up well on the other side, as the Marlins got to him for 9 hits and 4 earned runs through 6 innings of work. After a solid 2020 campaign, Senzatala has not been able to follow up and build on that season. Austin Gomber was able to flip the script the next day, though, as he allowed just 1 earned run through 5 innings. The win doesn’t put much of a dent in the NL West for the Rockies.

They are just trying to progress and put together some confidence for the future. The Rockies are a 25-37 club going into Thursday. That puts them well behind the top-3 and 13.5 games behind the San Francisco Giants for the lead in the NL West. If you want to look at the positive, then the Rockies are 5.5 games ahead of the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Rockies had the talent to win the division before they accepted reality and sold. The Dodgers and Padres have gotten much better over the past three years, leaving the Rockies stranded on the side of the road.

It’s hard to build on a winning team in Colorado. Their biggest problem is attracting star arms to want to pitch at Coors Field. Overpaying doesn’t even work on guys who don’t want to see their confidence fall in Denver. The Marlins went to the postseason last season with a record of 31-29. The expanded postseason helped get the Marlins there, and they were regarded as a potential dark horse.

After sweeping the Chicago Cubs in the wildcard stage, there was plenty to feel hopeful for in Miami. The Atlanta Braves took care in the Division Series to end their fun, though. Heading into Thursday with a record of 26-35, this hasn’t been what they envisioned. In any event, there are things that the Marlins have done right this season. The hot arm of Trevor Rogers has been something definitely going right for the Marlins. Chi Chi Gonzalez and Rogers are expected to receive the starting call on Thursday evening in Miami. Head below for our free Rockies vs. Marlins pick on June 10, 2021.

Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Rockies +1.5 (-115)
  • Marlins -1.5 (-105)
Moneyline:

  • Rockies +188
  • Marlins -205
Total:

  • Over 7.5 (+100)
  • Under 7.5 (-120)

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Rockies vs. Marlins Prediction:

The Marlins have not been significantly under the .500 mark because of Trevor Rogers. Let’s make that much clear. The second-year major leaguer, who struggled mightily through seven starts last year, worked hard in the offseason to erase that season and start fresh in 2021. Rogers posted an ERA of 6.11 and 1.61 WHIP as a rookie. He never looked comfortable and the numbers reflected that.

In a big turnaround, Rogers has posted an ERA of 1.97 and 1.09 WHIP going into Thursday. He has allowed fewer than 4 earned runs in every start, and less than 3 earned runs in nine of ten performances. Since giving up 3 earned runs against the Nationals on May 2, Rogers has allowed 0, 1, or 2 runs. His form has been impeccable at home where he owns an ERA of 1.71 and 1.10 WHIP.

The Rockies can score at home, but they haven’t been able to do the same on the road under normal conditions without the air in Colorado. They’ve scored 4.52 runs per 9 innings for 13th in the majors. However, on the road, Colorado has netted an average of just 2.52 runs per 9 innings. The Rockies are hitting just .198 as a visiting team in 2021. If Rogers is interested in pitching Thursday night, we should be in for a dominant performance out of the lefty.

Chi Chi Gonzalez has been one pitcher that has liked pitching at Coors Field. He has it down well. Gonzalez has a 2.95 ERA and 1.31 WHIP at home this season. However, Gonzalez has faltered on the road, where he has been touched up for a 6.33 ERA and 1.44 WHIP.

He’s 0-3 on the road going into Miami tonight. Gonzalez is coming off a 9-5 loss against the Athletics in Colorado. He was lucky to get away with just 3 earned runs after allowing 7 hits through 4.1 innings. Gonzalez needs more than luck against the Marlins with Rogers starting tonight. The Marlins in a 5-2 or 5-3 final looks accurate.

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Our Bet
MIAMI MARLINS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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