Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick – MLB July 22, 2022

The Colorado Rockies open the second half on the road in Milwaukee at American Family Field. They went on a three-game skid and had losses in four of their previous five games entering the All-Star break.

In an impossible situation in the NL West against the Dodgers, Padres, and Giants, the Rockies are 43-50 and 19 games behind for the lead. The Rockies have an advantage on the Diamondbacks, but they don’t hold the cards in the NL West.

OFF AND ON
The Rockies have had their moments where they look like a competitive team. But isn’t that the same we’ve from this team over the last decade? It feels like nothing is changing in Denver.

It’s tough when you’re a team playing miles above sea level in the air at Coors Field. Attracting pitchers that want to play in Denver is always going to be a problem. They don’t have to worry about Coors Field in Milwaukee, but their offensive numbers drop considerably on the road.

The Brewers are in the midst of a race against the Cards for the NL Central.

They have a half-game lead on the Cardinals going into the second half. Milwaukee was able to put some space between them and St. Louis, but lost three in a row going into the break to drop to 50-43.

The Brew Crew lost eight of their previous 11 attempts before the break. That allowed the Cardinals to get closer and we have a ballgame in the NL Central.

Antonio Senzetala is on the docket for the Rockies at American Family Field on the road. The Brewers will turn to Cy Young starter Corbin Burnes to open the next phase of the regular season.

Head below for our free Rockies vs. Brewers prediction on July 22, 2022.

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-105) +225 7.5 (+100)
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-115) -280 7.5 (-120)
Team Data Colorado Rockies Milwaukee Brewers
Overall Record 43-50 50-43
Away/Home Record 15-27 21-19
Batting Average .262 .235
Batting Average Away/Home .231 .233
Runs Per 9 4.70 4.58
Team ERA 4.88 3.84
Team ERA Away/Home 4.90 3.63

Rockies vs. Brewers Prediction:

Antonio Senzatela hasn’t been great at home, but he’s fine at Coors Field. Senzatela has an ERA of 4.02 at home this season. That’s fine for pitching in Denver.

Most pitchers would rather play elsewhere than Coors Field. Senzatela doesn’t like going outside of Colorado, though.

He has posted an ERA of 6.86 and a 1.83 WHIP in 21.1 innings on the road.

Senzatela needs to turn it up and pitch better on the road. In his most recent trip outside of the Coors Field, he allowed 8 hits and 4 earned runs at Target Field on June 25.

After getting touched up 4 hits and 3 earned runs to the Diamondbacks in 2 innings, he left the game early with shoulder inflammation. This is his first start since that one on July 1.

TOUGH SPOT
I see Senzatela as being in a pretty tough spot in this one at Milwaukee. The Brewers are looking for someone to beat up after slipping up to end the first half.

Senzatela looks like a solid victim for the Brewers at home. Despite slow form to wrap up the first half, they are fourth in the majors with 1.36 home runs per game.

The Brewers have been in decent shape with 4.58 runs scored per 9 inning at home.

This is where it gets difficult for the Rockies. They can score at home, but their offensive production drops significantly on the road. The Rockies have scored 4.7 runs per 9 overall, though just 2.99 runs on the road.

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends:

Rockies

  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 11-26 overall in their previous 37 games on the road
  • 7-15 overall in their previous 22 first game of a series
  • 10-25 overall in their previous 35 games following a day off
  • 0-5 overall in their previous five games versus the Brewers
  • 2-7 overall in their previous nine games at Milwaukee

Brewers

  • Record (Last 10) 3-7
  • 4-0 overall in their previous four first game of a series
  • 6-2 overall in their previous eight games after a day off
  • 5-2 overall in their previous seven games after scoring 5 or more runs
  • 5-0 overall in their previous five games versus the Rockies
  • 7-2 overall in their previous nine games at Milwaukee versus the Rockies

  • The Rockies have a tough assignment versus a Cy Young-winning hurler. Corbin Burnes is in the saddle for this start at home to open up the second half.

    Burnes is in Cy Young form again, as he carries an ERA of 2.14 and a 0.90 WHIP in 113.2 innings this season.

    He caught fire to close out the first half, with an ERA of 0.89 and a 0.79 WHIP in his previous three starts. Burnes allowed just 8 hits and 2 earned runs through 21 innings.

    The Rockies haven’t hit a home run against Burnes in his career. They’re home run-less in 55 at-bats, which is impressive given Burnes has been at Coors Field.

    Milwaukee tripped over the finish line of the first half, but should turn it up right away against the Rockies. They need to get going or the Cardinals are going to seize the opportunity. Look for Burnes to put the Brewers back in the winner’s circle, with a win by at least 2 runs at home.

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    Rockies vs. Brewers Pick
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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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