Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick – September 22, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Kyle Freeland (2-2, 3.75 ERA) vs. Drew Smyly (0-0, 3.94 ERA)

The Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants are scheduled to play three more games at Oracle Park for this series. The Rockies struck first with a 7-2 victory on Monday night. They got started early with 2 runs in the top of the 1st, and then took a 7-0 lead into the bottom 5th.

A comeback effort was out of reach for the Giants. They added a couple of runs to the scoreboard, but that didn’t put a dent in the final score. Both teams are hoping to reach the postseason, with the Rockies in a must-win position for pretty much the rest of the season.

The Rockies are still on life support despite the win last night. They’re going into Tuesday with a record of 24-29. That gives them some hope that they can still finish strong and get into the postseason. Let’s be honest here for a minute, though. None of these teams with the bottom seeds deserve to be called a postseason team.

They get their play-in game, but it’s not really going to feel like the playoffs yet. In any event, the Rockies have a quick strike offense that could maybe pull off an upset. There are still some bats in that lineup I wouldn’t want to see if I were a pitcher.

The Giants aren’t in the postseason right now either, but are the first team on the outside of the frame in the National League. They’re tied with the Milwaukee Brewers with a record of 26-27. That puts them a sliver behind the Philadelphia Phillies for the final wildcard.

As far up as the fifth seed, the Marlins, are no sure thing of going to the playoffs, so this thing is going to go down to the wire. There are several teams that are jockeying for position with nothing decided with only a handful of games left for each team.

In other words, this is another big time matchup at Oracle Park in San Francisco tonight. There is no room for error for the Rockies, and there is little room for error for the Giants. Kyle Freeland will get the call on the hill for the Rockies in this one, while Drew Smyly is expected to counter for the Giants. Head below for our free Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants pick for September 22, 2020.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Rockies +1.5 (-176)
  • Giants -1.5 (+156)
Moneyline:

  • Rockies (+119)
  • Giants (-129)
Total:

  • Over 8 (-115)
  • Under 8 (-105)

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Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction:

The Rockies have been fortunate to see Kyle Freeland bounce back after a horrible 2019 campaign. Freeland was the ace of the club in 2018 as a sophomore. He posted an ERA of 2.85 and 1.25 WHIP. However, without warning, Freeland tanked last season and was sent down to the minors to work on his mechanics. Everything that went well for him in 2018 was gone last season. Freeland notched a 6.73 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 22 games. He came back from the minors and pitched better towards the end of the year.

Freeland has been in much better form this season, as he goes into Tuesday with an ERA of 3.75 and 1.32 WHIP through 62.1 innings. That said, he still isn’t the same lockdown pitcher we watched deal two years ago. Freeland is coming off a rough showing against the LA Dodgers on September 17. He conceded 6 hits and 4 earned runs in 6.1 innings of baseball. It’s the third game since August 28 that Freeland has given up at least 4 earned runs.

He has struggled mightily against the Giants in previous meetings. The Giants are hitting .440 with 6 home runs and 16 RBI through 120 at-bats. There are several hitters in this lineup that have done a number on Freeland. Nine hitters on the roster are hitting at least .300 against Freeland. In two outings against the Giants this season, Freeland has conceded 16 hits and 7 earned runs through just 8.2 innings of work. In short, Freeland has been lost in the woods when he has to step on the bump against the Giants.

The same could be said for Drew Smyly versus the Rockies. The Rockies have pushed Smyly around for a .378 batting average in 38 at-bats. Not as big of a sample size, but nonetheless, it hasn’t been Smyly’s favorite team. He goes into Tuesday with an ERA of 3.94 and 1.19 WHIP through 16 innings. Smylyl just came off the injured list two weeks ago and is getting some work in before the end of the season. He is coming off a rough outing against the Mariners, with 4 hits and 3 earned runs conceded in 3.2 innings. I think the total is just a bit too lower than it should be here.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.