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Cubs Mets Pick – NLCS Game Two

The Mets took Game One of the series last night in chilly Citi Field to jump out to the early series lead and will look to take a commanding 2-0 edge tonight behind young fireballer Noah Syndergaard. Opposing him? None other than Jake Arrieta, making tonight absolute must-see television… even though it is head-up against Pats/Colts. It’s an amazing sports night, and let’s hope we can make it even better with another winner.

We snuck in a half-run under the total last night to notch a winner and push the postseason record to 8-4 ATS. It’s a good start, but let’s see if we can make it even better and keep it going tonight.

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Today’s Free Pick:

Chicago Cubs -159 at New York Mets +154 (Total: 5.5)

Jake Arrieta vs. Noah Syndergaard

The Arrieta stats are ridiculous and have been parroted many times, primarily because they are so consistent and have been reportable for about four months. But in the what have you done for me lately world, Arrieta did scuffle a little bit in his last outing in the playoffs, so despite an overwhelming four month stretch, it is reasonable to be concerned that he will be a bit hittable tonight.

Alas, here’s the facts: In his last 15 starts overall, including the postseason, Arrieta has posted a 0.83 ERA since his last loss. He is 12-0 with a 1.16 ERA in his last 16 starts on the road – nearly flawless since his last road loss all the way back on May 17th. He is also 2-0 with a 0.98 ERA in his last four meetings with New York.

Opposing him is Noah Syndergaard, who ironically lost to Arrieta in his MLB debut this May. However, Syndergaard is a very different pitcher than he was in May. And he is very comfortable at Citi Field where he went 7-2 with a 2.46 ERA in 12 starts. I expect him to pitch well this evening under the bright lights.

Chicago won every single regular season head-to-head meeting, but that trend was snapped last night with the Mets winning Game One. It only proves once again that baseball is a day to day sport and momentum is only as important as the next day’s starting pitcher. Both pitchers are good and should BE good tonight, but last start notwithstanding, Jake Arrieta is more than good. He has been the best pitcher to ever to walk the Earth over the last four months (somehow, that isn’t even an exaggeration). I’ll take him and postseason breakout star Kyle Schwarber to narrowly win tonight. Schwarber is hitting a remarkable .471 with 6 HR and 6 RBI in the postseason and will be looking to be the first rookie to homer in four straight playoff games since Evan Longoria is 2008. I like him to make a difference with his bat and Arrieta to handle the rest.

Free Pick: Chicago Cubs to WIN -159